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Current Win Probability
Tiverton Town 29.8%
Draw 26.5%
Basingstoke Town 43.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.4%
23.8%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
23.1%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tiverton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiverton Town's form might have worsened.
Basingstoke Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiverton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Tiverton Town - Basingstoke Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 4)
1', 0 - 1, Herbert M. ⚽,
2', 0 - 2, Grant J. ⚽,
16', 0 - 3, Herbert M. ⚽,
38', 0 - 4, Herbert M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tiverton won 1.
Tiverton has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Basingstoke has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Basingstoke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tiverton has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tiverton won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 2.4:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Tiverton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 2.3:2.3).
Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now
Basingstoke: 0.49%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
Basingstoke
9
2
3
4
14:16
-2
9
Last Results with these Odds
Tiverton Town - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.45%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Basingstoke Town - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.74%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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