Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 8

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Basingstoke Town		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.55	2.3
	2.56	3.52	2.36
	2.55	3.52	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.59)	3.53 ↓ (3.59)	2.32 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basingstoke Town
35.5%

Draw
25.6%

Havant & Waterlooville
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

25.1%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

24.9%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basingstoke Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Havant & Waterlooville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Basingstoke Town - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
34', 0 - 1, Armsworth S. (Own goal),
39', 0 - 2, Seager R. ⚽,
41', 0 - 3, Seager R. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 3, Cook B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 16 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basingstoke won 0.

Basingstoke has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Havant's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Basingstoke won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 6:26. (average 0.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Basingstoke won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
06.09.25	Basingstoke Town - Hungerford Town	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Bracknell Town - Basingstoke Town	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Basingstoke Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Taunton Town - Basingstoke Town	1:1 ✺
12.08.25	Evesham United - Basingstoke Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTTT
- Havant & Waterlooville
English Southern League South Division
06.09.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Plymouth Parkway	1:0 ✺
25.08.25	Sholing - Havant & Waterlooville	3:3 ✺
23.08.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Hungerford Town	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Evesham United - Havant & Waterlooville	0:1 ✺
12.08.25	Wimborne Town - Havant & Waterlooville	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
22.02.25	Basingstoke Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:3
30.11.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Basingstoke Town	5:1
English National League South
12.03.16	Basingstoke Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1
23.01.16	Havant & Waterlooville - Basingstoke Town	1:0
English FA Trophy
28.11.15	Havant & Waterlooville - Basingstoke Town	2:1
English National League South
18.04.15	Basingstoke Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:0
13.09.14	Havant & Waterlooville - Basingstoke Town	2:0

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