Match Info

Date: 22 March 2021, Monday


	Bastia		Creteil

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.8	7.5
	1.42	3.6	7.5
	1.38	4	8.6
	1.38	4.48	10.86
	1.36	4	9
	1.37	4.42	8.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.67)	4.05 ↑ (3.16)	8.69 ↑ (5.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bastia
66.6%

Draw
22.8%

Creteil
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

29%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

23%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bastia's performance.

Creteil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Creteil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Creteil than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.4%	16.7%	6.9%

Bastia - Creteil Predictions

Users Predictions: 72 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 55 - 76.4%). Creteil will win (votes: 5 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 66.6% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Ligue 2 and 12).

Bastia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Creteil is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bastia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bastia is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bastia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bastia
French Ligue 3
05.03.21	Bastia - Concarneau	1:1 ✺
27.02.21	Sète 34 - Bastia	0:0 ✺
19.02.21	Bastia - Villefranche	1:1 ✺
13.02.21	Bourg-Péronnas - Bastia	1:3 ✺
08.02.21	Bastia - Le Mans	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTTWW
- US Créteil-Lusitanos
French Ligue 3
13.03.21	Creteil - Red Star	0:2 ✺
09.03.21	Stade Briochin - Creteil	2:1 ✺
05.03.21	Quevilly - Creteil	1:0 ✺
27.02.21	Creteil - Annecy	4:1 ✺
23.02.21	Creteil - Lyon La Duchère	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
15.10.20	Creteil - Bastia	2:0

Bastia - Creteil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide