Match Info

Date: 28 October 2021, Thursday


	Creteil		Red Star

	1	X	2
	3.9	3	1.9
	3.7	3	1.95
	3.7	3.15	1.98
	4.06	3.31	2.01
	3.4	3.1	2.05
	3.52	3.35	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.13)	3.15 ↑ (3.06)	1.99 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Creteil
24.7%

Draw
29.1%

Red Star
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

30.2%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

21.9%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Creteil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Star's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Creteil than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Star could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Creteil - Red Star Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Creteil is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Red Star is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Creteil could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Red Star will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Creteil won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Creteil won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Créteil-Lusitanos
French Ligue 3
22.10.21	Chambly - Creteil	4:0 ✺
08.10.21	Creteil - Boulogne	3:2 ✺
01.10.21	Concarneau - Creteil	1:0 ✺
24.09.21	Creteil - Laval	0:1 ✺
17.09.21	Sedan - Creteil	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLLT
- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
25.10.21	Red Star - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
08.10.21	Avranches - Red Star	0:6 ✺
01.10.21	Red Star - Cholet	4:2 ✺
24.09.21	Bastia-Borgo - Red Star	2:2 ✺
17.09.21	Red Star - Villefranche	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
13.03.21	Creteil - Red Star	0:2
09.10.20	Red Star - Creteil	1:0
Club Friendly
05.08.20	Creteil - Red Star	2:0
French Ligue 3
28.02.20	Creteil - Red Star	0:0
20.09.19	Red Star - Creteil	0:0
28.04.18	Red Star - Creteil	2:1
16.12.17	Creteil - Red Star	2:3

Upcoming Matches