Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 34

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stade Armand Cesari (Bastia)

Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Bastia		Concarneau

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.75	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.6
	2.1	3.2	3.6	Watch
	2.14	3.19	3.91
	2.13	3.19	3.91
	2.05	3.25	3.5
	2.12	3.32	3.59	Watch
	2.1	3.15	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.02)	3.2 ↓ (3.34)	3.68 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bastia
44.9%

Draw
29.5%

Concarneau
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

28.4%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

28.8%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Concarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	7.1%	57.1%

Bastia - Concarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Concarneau will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Concarneau: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Placide J. (G) 15. Bohnert F. 95. Keita C. 5. Drame I. 99. Okou Y. 42. Tavares D. 7. Vincent C. 13. Ducrocq T. 66. Janneh J. 9. Santelli B. 10. Alfarela M.	30. Salles E. (G) 2. Georgen A. 28. Paro I. 12. Celestine J. 17. Etuin M. 6. Phliponeau A. 15. Bares G. 21. Chadli N. 20. Mouazan B. 11. Urie A. 14. Ba P. I.
Substitutes
17. Bianchini F. 14. Charbonier G. 23. Fabri J. (G) 24. Meynadier T. 4. Roncaglia A. 26. Siby M. 18. Tomi F.	19. Diawara K. 33. Faussurier J. 4. Janez G. 7. Matondo I. 13. Moussiti-Oko B. 1. Pattier M. (G) 26. Sinquin T.
Coaches
Moretti M.	Le Mignan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Celestine J. 🟨,
52', 1 - 0, Santelli B. ⚽, Bohnert F. (A),
56', Drame I. 🟨,
63', Santelli B. ↓, Bianchini F. ↑,
66', Urie A. ↓, Diawara K. ↑,
66', Chadli N. ↓, Moussiti-Oko B. ↑,
66', Mouazan B. ↓, Matondo I. ↑,
70', Phliponeau A. ↓, Sinquin T. ↑,
71', Moussiti-Oko B. 🟥,
74', Vincent C. ↓, Siby M. ↑,
74', Bohnert F. ↓, Meynadier T. ↑,
82', Alfarela M. ↓, Charbonier G. ↑,
82', Janneh J. ↓, Roncaglia A. ↑,
82', Georgen A. ↓, Faussurier J. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Charbonier G. ⚽, Bianchini F. (A),

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Bastia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Concarneau is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bastia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
20.04.24	Guingamp - Bastia	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Bordeaux - Bastia	2:3 ✺
06.04.24	Bastia - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Laval - Bastia	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Bastia - Saint-Étienne	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1 WWTWL
- US Concarneau
French Ligue 2
20.04.24	Concarneau - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Concarneau - Amiens	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Saint-Étienne - Concarneau	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Concarneau - Angers	2:4 ✺
16.03.24	Pau - Concarneau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
05.08.23	Concarneau - Bastia	0:0
French Ligue 3
05.03.21	Bastia - Concarneau	1:1
02.10.20	Concarneau - Bastia	1:1
Coupe De France
05.01.19	Bastia - Concarneau	3:2 penalties

Bastia - Concarneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide