Match Info

National League South - Round 15

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)


	Bath City		Horsham

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.15	2.48
	2.22	3.58	2.88	Watch
	2.74	3.16	2.58
	2.64	3.15	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.22)	3.26 ↓ (3.58)	2.61 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
36%

Draw
28.4%

Horsham
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

25.9%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

26.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bath City's form might have worsened.

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bath City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-4%)

Bath City - Horsham Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bath (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Horsham (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', Parselle K. 🟥,
45+3', 0 - 1, Hammond J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 2, Fenelon S. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 18 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Bath has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Horsham is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Horsham has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bath won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Horsham - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.24%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
25.10.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Bath City	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	Bath City - Totton	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Hornchurch - Bath City	3:2 ✺
04.10.25	Farnborough - Bath City	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Bath City - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLTL
- Horsham FC
English National League South
25.10.25	Horsham - Enfield Town	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Horsham	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Tonbridge Angels - Horsham	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Dover Athletic - Horsham	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Hornchurch - Horsham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
25.11.18	Horsham - Bath City	1:2

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