Match Info

National League South - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Hemel Hempstead Town		Bath City

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.2	3.45
	2	3.21	3.73
	1.87	3.74	3.64	Watch
	2.02	3.28	3.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.87)	3.36 ↓ (3.74)	3.6 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hemel Hempstead Town
46.8%

Draw
27.5%

Bath City
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

24.8%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

24%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Bath City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (-1%)

Hemel Hempstead Town - Bath City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+9', 1 - 0, White J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hemel Hempstead won 1.

Hemel Hempstead is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bath is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hemel Hempstead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hemel Hempstead has had a series of away games.

Hemel Hempstead is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hemel Hempstead won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Hemel Hempstead won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
21.10.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Totton - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Yeovil Town	2:1 ✺
English National League South
04.10.25	Chippenham Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.25	Hereford - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLWWW
- Bath City
English National League South
21.10.25	Bath City - Totton	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Hornchurch - Bath City	3:2 ✺
04.10.25	Farnborough - Bath City	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Bath City - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Wimborne Town - Bath City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
29.03.25	Bath City - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0
31.08.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Bath City	4:2
12.03.24	Bath City - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0
21.11.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Bath City	0:0
07.03.23	Bath City - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0
06.12.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Bath City	1:0
19.03.22	Bath City - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1

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