The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bath City 63.1%
Draw 20.5%
Malvern Town 16.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.9%
21.7%
17.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
15.4%
24.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bath City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Malvern Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (-19.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bath City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malvern Town than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Malvern Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bath City - Malvern Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Tumelty J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, Bowman M. ⚽,
81', 2 - 1, Boldewijn E. ⚽,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 21st in the Relegation).
In recent outings, Bath has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Malvern has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this matchup, Bath is considered the favorite to take the win.
These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now
Watch
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