Match Info

First League - Round 22

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	07:00	SportsEngine Play


	Batyr Ekibastuz		Tobol 2

	1	X	2
	1.31	5.00	6.75
	1.30	5.00	6.40
	1.28	5.32	8.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 (1.3)	5.11 ↑ (5)	7.07 ↑ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Batyr Ekibastuz
69.6%

Draw
17.7%

Tobol 2
12.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.3%

17.8%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

16.6%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Batyr Ekibastuz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Tobol 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Batyr Ekibastuz than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol 2 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Musaev E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
53', 0 - 2, Musaev E. ⚽, Bakitzhanov A. (A),
65', 1 - 2, Aitpakayev A. ⚽, Kushkumbayev D. (A),
71', Orazbek A. 🟥,
80', 1 - 3, Zinadin A. ⚽, Zhaksylyk N. (A),
83', 1 - 4, Bakitzhanov A. ⚽, Musaev E. (A),
88', 1 - 5, Kabylzagin B. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Batyr has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tobol 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Batyr is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Batyr won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	FC Batyr	26	7	6	13	34:59	-25	27
13	Tobol 2	26	6	5	15	51:64	-13	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Batyr Ekibastuz
Kazakh First League
03.09.26	Arys - Batyr Ekibastuz	3:1 ✺
20.08.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Batyr Ekibastuz	3:2 ✺
14.08.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Jaiyq	3:1 ✺
06.08.26	Aktobe 2 - Batyr Ekibastuz	0:2 ✺
30.07.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Yelimay 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWWW
- Tobol Kostanay 2
Kazakh First League
28.08.26	Taraz - Tobol 2	3:1 ✺
20.08.26	Tobol 2 - Khan Tengri	3:4 ✺
13.08.26	Astana 2 - Tobol 2	0:4 ✺
31.07.26	Tobol 2 - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Turan Turkistan - Tobol 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
18.06.26	Tobol 2 - Batyr Ekibastuz	3:3

Batyr Ekibastuz - Tobol 2