Match Info

First League - Round 16

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday


	Tobol 2		Shakhter Karagandy

	1	X	2
	13.50	8.00	1.12
	12.5	7.3	1.12
	9.6	6.9	1.11
	16.38	7.32	1.12	Watch
	12	6.85	1.12
	20	7.65	1.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	14 ↓ (14.55)	7.34 ↑ (6.81)	1.12 ↑ (1.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tobol 2
6.5%

Draw
12.4%

Shakhter Karagandy
81.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.2%

13.2%

80.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tobol 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Shakhter Karagandy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Tobol 2 - Shakhter Karagandy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Litosh A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 0 - 2, Kalybayev D. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Tobol 2 is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Shakhter Karagandy is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Shakhter Karagandy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shakhter Karagandy is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tobol 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shakhter Karagandy ✔	23	20	2	1	64:8	56	62
13	Tobol 2	23	4	4	15	40:57	-17	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tobol Kostanay 2
Kazakh First League
24.07.26	Turan Turkistan - Tobol 2	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Tobol 2 - Akademiya Ontustik	2:3 ✺
09.07.26	Jaiyq - Tobol 2	1:0 ✺
02.07.26	Tobol 2 - Aktobe 2	5:5 ✺
25.06.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Tobol 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh First League
24.07.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Arys	4:1 ✺
16.07.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Turan Turkistan	1:0 ✺
02.07.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Shakhter Karagandy	1:2 ✺
26.06.26	Taraz - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
01.05.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Tobol 2	3:0

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