Match Info

First League - Round 19

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tobol 2		Khan Tengri

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.50	2.20
	2.62	3.80	2.10
	2.52	4.07	2.22	Watch
	2.60	3.80	2.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.52)	3.79 ↓ (4.07)	2.16 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tobol 2
34.7%

Draw
23.7%

Khan Tengri
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

22.5%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

21.5%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tobol 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Khan Tengri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol 2 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khan Tengri than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Emirov R. ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Bizhan A. ⚽, Umirzak D. (A),
27', 0 - 3, Sarsenbek R. ⚽, Kulbayuly I. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
57', 1 - 3, Bazarbaev R. ⚽, Zinadin A. (A),
71', 2 - 3, Toktasynov O. ⚽,
77', 3 - 3, Amanzhanov A. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 4, Valiev A. ⚽, Ermenov Z. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Tobol 2 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Khan Tengri has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Khan Tengri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tobol 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Khan Tengri	23	7	4	12	29:44	-15	25
13	Tobol 2	23	4	4	15	40:57	-17	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tobol Kostanay 2
Kazakh First League
13.08.26	Astana 2 - Tobol 2	0:4 ✺
31.07.26	Tobol 2 - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Turan Turkistan - Tobol 2	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Tobol 2 - Akademiya Ontustik	2:3 ✺
09.07.26	Jaiyq - Tobol 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WLLLL
- Khan Tengri FC
Kazakh First League
15.08.26	Khan Tengri - Arys	0:0 ✺
06.08.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Khan Tengri	3:1 ✺
30.07.26	Khan Tengri - Turan Turkistan	0:1 ✺
23.07.26	Jaiyq - Khan Tengri	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Khan Tengri - Yelimay 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
22.05.26	Khan Tengri - Tobol 2	2:1

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