Match Info

First League - Round 20

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Taraz		Tobol 2

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.81	7.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 (1.33)	4.81 ↓ (4.83)	7.47 ↑ (7.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taraz
68.7%

Draw
19%

Tobol 2
12.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.8%

18.9%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

17.9%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taraz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Tobol 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taraz than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol 2 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Zhumabek A. ⚽, Baytana B. (A),
45+1', 2 - 0, Lesbek D. ⚽, Toybekov E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Bakitzhanov A. ⚽,
82', 3 - 1, Baytana B. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Taraz is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tobol 2 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Taraz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Taraz is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Taraz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Taraz	24	8	7	9	31:33	-2	31
13	Tobol 2 ✔	25	5	5	15	48:62	-14	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Taraz
Kazakh First League
20.08.26	Arys - Taraz	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Taraz - Turan Turkistan	0:0 ✺
30.07.26	Taraz - Akademiya Ontustik	2:1 ✺
24.07.26	Yelimay 2 - Taraz	0:1 ✺
16.07.26	Taraz - Aktobe 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTWWT
- Tobol Kostanay 2
Kazakh First League
20.08.26	Tobol 2 - Khan Tengri	3:4 ✺
13.08.26	Astana 2 - Tobol 2	0:4 ✺
31.07.26	Tobol 2 - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Turan Turkistan - Tobol 2	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Tobol 2 - Akademiya Ontustik	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
27.05.26	Tobol 2 - Taraz	3:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Taraz
Kazakh First League
16.10.26	Taraz - Kaspiy Aktau 2	✺
- Tobol Kostanay 2
Kazakh First League
15.10.26	Tobol 2 - Jaiyq	✺

Taraz - Tobol 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide