Match Info

Date: 16 December 2020, Wednesday


	Bayern Munich II		Duisburg

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4.33
	1.8	4	3.75
	1.75	4	3.75
	1.77	3.95	3.8
	1.81	4.32	3.96
	1.75	3.9	3.9
	1.79	4.2	3.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.01)	4.02 ↑ (3.65)	3.9 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich II
52.7%

Draw
23.3%

Duisburg
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

25.5%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

19.7%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bayern Munich II's performance.

Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich II than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayern Munich II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Bayern Munich II - Duisburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Bayern Munich II is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Duisburg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Duisburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bayern Munich II have a series of guest games.

Bayern Munich II will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bayern Munich II won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Bayern Munich II won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern Munich II
German 3 Bundesliga
13.12.20	Saarbrücken - Bayern Munich II	1:2 ✺
28.11.20	Hansa Rostock - Bayern Munich II	2:0 ✺
25.11.20	Bayern Munich II - Ingolstadt	1:3 ✺
22.11.20	Lübeck - Bayern Munich II	3:0 ✺
07.11.20	Magdeburg - Bayern Munich II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLL
- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
12.12.20	Duisburg - Wehen Wiesbaden	4:1 ✺
05.12.20	Kaiserslautern - Duisburg	2:2 ✺
29.11.20	Duisburg - Dynamo Dresden	0:3 ✺
24.11.20	Waldhof Mannheim - Duisburg	2:2 ✺
20.11.20	Duisburg - Verl	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
01.07.20	Bayern Munich II - Duisburg	2:2
08.12.19	Duisburg - Bayern Munich II	3:2

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