Match Info

3. Liga - Round 23

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena (Duisburg)

Referee: Wienefeld J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 7
Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Duisburg		Verl

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.7	2.2	Watch
	2.5	3.6	2.55
	2.82	3.55	2.25	Watch
	3.04	3.56	2.29
	2.86	3.6	2.26	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.25
	2.9	3.34	2.2	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.46)	3.5 ↓ (3.56)	2.28 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duisburg
32.9%

Draw
26.5%

Verl
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

26.1%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

26.3%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Duisburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	30.8%	15.4%

Duisburg - Verl Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Duisburg will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Verl will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duisburg: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Verl (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Duisburg (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Duisburg (votes: 1 - 20%). Verl (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Braune M. (G) 29. Bitter J. 5. Fleckstein T. 40. Schlicke B. 27. Coskun C. 8. Casar A. 6. Bulic R. 23. Symalla J. 25. Borkowski D. 37. Sussek P. 45. Lobinger L.	1. Schulze P. (G) 20. Mhamdi O. 5. Ens M. 34. Otto F. 19. Kijewski N. (C) 30. Gayret T. 6. Eze J. 8. Waidner D. 10. Taz B. 23. Besio A. 28. Otto Y.
Substitutes
7. Bookjans J. 20. Jessen N. 31. Kother D. 26. Kruger F. 18. Meuer S. 19. Muller L. 14. Noss C. 24. Paris J. (G) 33. Tugbenyo J.	9. Arweiler J. 35. Foti A. 21. Knost T. 14. Lehmann P. 32. Pekruhl F. (G) 7. Stark J. 24. Stocker M. 18. Wessig F. 11. Worner M.
Coaches
Hirsch D.	Strobl T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Lobinger L. ⚽, Symalla J. (A),
4', 1 - 1, Mhamdi O. ⚽, Waidner D. (A),
35', 2 - 1, Borkowski D. ⚽, Symalla J. (A),
45', Borkowski D. ↓, Jessen N. ↑,
45+3', 3 - 1, Lobinger L. ⚽, Sussek P. (A),
45+6', Bulic R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Otto Y. ↓, Arweiler J. ↑,
47', 4 - 1, Sussek P. ⚽,
49', Coskun C. 🟨,
63', Eze J. ↓, Worner M. ↑,
65', Lobinger L. ↓, Kother D. ↑,
65', Bulic R. ↓, Muller L. ↑,
71', Taz B. ↓, Stark J. ↑,
73', Symalla J. ↓, Noss C. ↑,
73', Casar A. ↓, Tugbenyo J. ↑,
74', 4 - 2, Stark J. ⚽, Arweiler J. (A),
83', Arweiler J. 🟨,
84', Otto F. ↓, Wessig F. ↑,
84', Besio A. ↓, Foti A. ↑,
86', Schlicke B. 🟨,
90+1', Stark J. 🟨,
90+3', Sussek P. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 2.

Duisburg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Verl is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Verl may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Duisburg has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Duisburg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.8:3).

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Duisburg: 23.75% Verl: 0.95%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Duisburg	8	7	0	1	22:9	13	21
12	Verl	7	3	1	3	10:13	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
01.02.26	Ulm 1846 - Duisburg	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Duisburg - Jahn Regensburg	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	VfB Stuttgart II - Duisburg	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Hannover - Duisburg	2:0 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
21.12.25	Viktoria Köln - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLT
- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
01.02.26	Verl - VfB Stuttgart II	4:0 ✺
25.01.26	Wehen Wiesbaden - Verl	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Verl - Waldhof Mannheim	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.01.26	Bonner - Verl	0:5 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
20.12.25	1860 München - Verl	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
30.08.25	Verl - Duisburg	2:3
10.02.24	Verl - Duisburg	1:3
15.09.23	Duisburg - Verl	2:3
18.03.23	Duisburg - Verl	3:3
18.09.22	Verl - Duisburg	1:0
14.05.22	Verl - Duisburg	1:1
11.12.21	Duisburg - Verl	2:2

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