Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 13

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Viktoria Aschaffenburg		Illertissen

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.8	1.8
	3.94	3.9	1.78
	3.91	3.85	1.72
	3.6	3.8	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.76)	3.84 ↑ (3.65)	1.79 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
24.4%

Draw
24%

Illertissen
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

25%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

24.1%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Aschaffenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Illertissen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Aschaffenburg than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (+1%)

Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Illertissen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 1 - 0, Cassaniti N. ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, Zeller M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aschaffenburg won 2.

Recent performances by Aschaffenburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Illertissen is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Illertissen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Illertissen is considered a favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Aschaffenburg won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Aschaffenburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Aschaffenburg
German Regionalliga Bayern
03.10.25	Aubstadt - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Augsburg II	3:2 ✺
23.09.25	Unterhaching - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Vilzing	3:2 ✺
12.09.25	Wacker Burghausen - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWLWL
- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
04.10.25	Illertissen - Buchbach	4:1 ✺
27.09.25	Nürnberg II - Illertissen	2:5 ✺
23.09.25	Aubstadt - Illertissen	3:5 ✺
19.09.25	Illertissen - Augsburg II	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Vilzing - Illertissen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
09.05.25	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Illertissen	1:0
22.10.24	Illertissen - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	1:0
03.05.24	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Illertissen	0:0
14.10.23	Illertissen - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	2:1
05.11.22	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Illertissen	3:0
15.07.22	Illertissen - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	1:2
30.10.21	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Illertissen	0:1

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