Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: TSC Arena (Bačka Topola) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 6, Moja TV
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 13
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 16
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 15
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Vietnam	02:00	ON Plus
International	19:00	Disney+


	Bačka Topola		Legia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.7	1.91
	3.5	3.6	1.88
	3.6	3.75	1.95
	3.87	3.81	1.95
	3.54	3.88	1.91	Watch
	3.81	3.89	1.94
	3.6	3.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.2)	3.77 ↑ (3.2)	1.93 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bačka Topola
25.8%

Draw
25.1%

Legia Warsaw
49.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.2%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

29.5%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bačka Topola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Legia Warsaw's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Legia Warsaw, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	9.8%	90.2%

Bačka Topola - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 37 - 90.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 81.1% – 99.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ilic V. (C) 31. Capan L. 5. Stevanovic D. 4. Krstic V. 22. Jovanovic S. 6. Pejic A. 18. Banjac M. 7. Radin M. 14. Stanic P. 10. Cirkovic A. 27. Pantovic M.	1. Tobiasz K. (G) 13. Wszolek P. 12. Pankov R. 3. Kapuadi S. 19. Vinagre R. 67. Kapustka B. (C) 8. Augustyniak R. 25. Morishita R. 11. Chodyna K. 28. Gual M. 82. Luquinhas
Substitutes
3. Bagnack M. 35. Djakovac I. 25. Djordjevic M. 24. Gordic D. 23. Jorgic N. (G) 8. Jovanovic S. 9. Lazetic M. 29. Mboungou V. 11. Milosavljevic I. 30. Petrovic N. 1. Simic N. (G) 88. Sos B.	80. Adkonis J. 17. Alfarela M. 21. Celhaka J. 5. Goncalves C. 55. Jedrzejczyk A. 27. Kobylak G. (G) 23. Kun P. 77. Nsame J. 7. Pekhart T. 42. Sergio Barcia 71. Szczepaniak M. 24. Ziolkowski J.
Coaches
Damjanovic J.	Feio G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Kapustka B. ⚽, Luquinhas (A),
45', Radin M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Pankov R. ↓, Ziolkowski J. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Luquinhas ⚽,
52', Kapustka B. 🟨,
60', Pejic A. ↓, Djakovac I. ↑,
60', Pantovic M. ↓, Jovanovic S. ↑,
62', Capan L. 🟨,
62', 0 - 3, Chodyna K. ⚽, Vinagre R. (A),
67', Banjac M. 🟨,
68', Augustyniak R. ↓, Celhaka J. ↑,
68', Luquinhas ↓, Alfarela M. ↑,
69', Gual M. ↓, Pekhart T. ↑,
72', Ziolkowski J. 🟨,
73', Banjac M. ↓, Sos B. ↑,
80', Morishita R. ↓, Goncalves C. ↑,
82', Krstic V. 🟨,
88', Stanic P. ↓, Lazetic M. ↑,
88', Cirkovic A. ↓, Milosavljevic I. ↑,
90+4', Chodyna K. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Legia will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Bačka Topola: Kuveljic N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Legia: Celhaka J. (Injury) Elitim J. (Knee Injury) Goncalves C. (Injury) Kapuadi S. (Yellow Cards) Leszczynski J. (Knee Injury) Mustafaev R. (Knee Injury) Sergio Barcia (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSC Bačka Topola
Serbian Superliga
18.10.24	Bačka Topola - Radnički 1923	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Bačka Topola - Jedinstvo Ub	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Astana - Bačka Topola	1:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
28.09.24	Čukarički - Bačka Topola	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Bačka Topola - Novi Pazar	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLWW
- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.10.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Legia Warsaw	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Legia Warsaw - Betis	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.09.24	Legia Warsaw - Górnik Zabrze	1:1 ✺
20.09.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTWTL

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