Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Astana Arena (Astana) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Reitala O. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	02:45	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 6, Moja TV
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 14
Iceland	16:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	23:45	beIN Connect
Kazakhstan	22:45	Qazsport
Montenegro	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	23:15	Canal+ Myanmar
North Macedonia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Russia	19:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 3
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 17
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 14
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Vietnam	23:45	ON Plus
International	16:45	Disney+


	Astana		Bačka Topola

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	5
	1.66	3.6	4.6
	1.68	3.75	5
	1.68	3.97	5.08
	1.68	3.91	4.63	Watch
	1.73	3.5	4.33
	1.71	4.01	4.94
	1.68	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.77)	3.76 ↑ (3.58)	4.82 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana
55.6%

Draw
24.9%

Bačka Topola
19.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.7%

26.1%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

25.2%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Bačka Topola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.5%	4.5%	3%

Astana - Bačka Topola Predictions

Users Predictions: Astana will win (62 of 67 users predict this - 92.54%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.25% – 98.83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Condric J. (G) 5. Kazukolovas K. 22. Marochkin A. 45. Amanovic A. 2. Bartolec K. 7. Ebong M. 77. Gripshi N. 6. Vorogovskiy Y. 10. Tomasov M. (C) 9. Geoffrey C. 28. Camara O.	12. Ilic V. (G) 25. Djordjevic M. 5. Stevanovic D. 22. Jovanovic S. 7. Radin M. 30. Petrovic N. (C) 35. Djakovac I. 14. Stanic P. 18. Banjac M. 27. Pantovic M. 10. Cirkovic A.
Substitutes
11. Ahanonu N. F. 21. Astanov E. 72. Basmanov S. 15. Beysebekov A. 4. Bystrov M. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 81. Karimov R. 8. Kuat I. 19. Osei B. 74. Seysen M. (G) 55. Zarutskiy A. (G)	3. Bagnack M. 31. Capan L. 24. Gordic D. 23. Jorgic N. (G) 4. Krstic V. 9. Lazetic M. 29. Mboungou V. 11. Milosavljevic I. 6. Pejic A. 1. Simic N. (G) 88. Sos B.
Coaches
Babayan G.	Damjanovic J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Jovanovic S. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Kazukolovas K. ⚽, Vorogovskiy Y. (A),
39', Radin M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', Djakovac I. ↓, Mboungou V. ↑,
72', Geoffrey C. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
78', Banjac M. ↓, Sos B. ↑,
84', Gripshi N. ↓, Kuat I. ↑,
84', Cirkovic A. ↓, Lazetic M. ↑,
86', Karimov R. 🟨,
90+1', Camara O. ↓, Astanov E. ↑,
90+1', Tomasov M. ↓, Ahanonu N. F. ↑,

Preview

Astana in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bačka Topola is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Astana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Astana is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Astana to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
29.09.24	Zhenis - Astana	1:1 ✺
Kazakh League Cup
25.09.24	Astana - Yelimay Semey	1:0 penalties ✺
Kazakh Premier League
22.09.24	Ordabasy - Astana	2:4 ✺
18.09.24	Kaisar - Astana	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Astana - Kyzylzhar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWWW
- TSC Bačka Topola
Serbian Superliga
28.09.24	Čukarički - Bačka Topola	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Bačka Topola - Novi Pazar	5:2 ✺
15.09.24	Tekstilac Odžaci - Bačka Topola	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Bačka Topola - Mladost Lučani	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.08.24	Bačka Topola - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLLL

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