Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 5 October 2023, Thursday

Location: TSC Arena (Bačka Topola)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Bačka Topola		Olympiacos Piraeus

	1	X	2
	6	4.2	1.55
	6.25	4.1	1.55
	6.1	4.35	1.55	Watch
	6	4.15	1.56
	6.38	4.2	1.57
	5.8	4.2	1.53
	5.95	4.25	1.56
	6.2	4.2	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.09 ↑ (4.64)	4.21 ↑ (4.04)	1.55 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bačka Topola
15.7%

Draw
22.7%

Olympiacos Piraeus
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

23.5%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

25.2%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bačka Topola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olympiacos Piraeus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	4.8%	90.5%

Bačka Topola - Olympiacos Piraeus Predictions

Users Predictions: Olympiacos Piraeus will win (57 of 63 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.23% – 97.73%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ilic V. (G) 29. Cvetkovic M. 4. Calusic J. 17. Antonic G. (C) 30. Petrovic N. 7. Radin M. 18. Stojic N. 35. Djakovac I. 14. Stanic P. 97. Rakonjac M. 8. Jovanovic S.	1. Paschalakis A. (G) 23. Rodinei 45. Retsos P. 74. Ntoi A. 18. Quini 32. Hezze S. 4. Camara M. 19. Masouras G. 7. Fortounis K. (C) 56. Podence D. 9. El Kaabi A.
Substitutes
32. Cirkovic A. 23. Jorgic N. (G) 44. Krstic V. 21. Kuveljic N. 9. Milovanovic U. 10. Mirchevski M. 27. Pantovic M. 1. Simic N. (G) 88. Sos B. 77. Vlalukin J. 37. Vulic M.	15. Alexandropoulos S. 21. Biel P. 20. Carvalho J. 11. El Arabi Y. 22. Jovetic S. 3. Ortega F. 99. Papadoudis A. (G) 25. Porozo J. 98. Solbakken O. 88. Tzolakis K. (G) 17. Vrousai M.
Coaches
Lazetic Z.	Martinez D.

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Bačka Topola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Olympiacos is a favorite.

There will not play in Olympiacos: Leidner D. (Knee Injury) Richards O. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Olympiacos: Androutsos A. (Injury) Fadiga B. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSC Bačka Topola
Serbian Superliga
30.09.23	Mladost Lučani - Bačka Topola	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
21.09.23	West Ham United - Bačka Topola	3:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
16.09.23	Bačka Topola - Železničar Pančevo	6:3 ✺
Club Friendly
09.09.23	Bačka Topola - DAC Dunajská Streda	4:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
01.09.23	Radnik Surdulica - Bačka Topola	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWWW
- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
01.10.23	PAS Giannina - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:3 ✺
27.09.23	Olympiacos Piraeus - Aris	4:1 ✺
24.09.23	Olympiacos Piraeus - AE Kifisia	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
21.09.23	Olympiacos Piraeus - Freiburg	2:3 ✺
Greek Super League
17.09.23	AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLT

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