Match Info

Super League - Championship Group - Round 6

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Allwyn Arena (Athens)

Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ANT1 Pacific
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 3
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Usa	ANT1 Satellite


	AEK Athens		Olympiacos Piraeus

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.35	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.4	Watch
	3.26	3.17	2.42
	3.13	2.94	2.47	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.3
	3.15	3.05	2.37	Watch
	2.56	3.1	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.49)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	2.42 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
30.9%

Draw
30.4%

Olympiacos Piraeus
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

30.2%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEK Athens's form might have worsened.

Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olympiacos Piraeus's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	13.9%	75%

AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 4 - 11.1%). Olympiacos will win (votes: 27 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olympiacos: 60.9% – 89.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Olympiacos (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Olympiacos (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Olympiacos (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Brignoli A. (G) 12. Rota L. 2. Moukoudi H. (C) 44. Relvas F. 3. Pilios S. 11. Koita A. 13. Pineda O. 18. Marin R. 37. Pereyra R. 9. Jovic L. 90. Zini	88. Tzolakis K. (G) 20. Costinha 45. Retsos P. (C) 5. Pirola L. 3. Ortega F. 16. Scipioni L. 14. Garcia D. 23. Rodinei 22. Chiquinho 56. Podence D. 9. El Kaabi A.
Substitutes
81. Angelopoulos A. (G) 19. Eliasson N. 15. Georgiev M. 4. Grujic M. 10. Joao Mario 7. Kutesa D. 23. Ljubicic R. 20. Mantalos P. 29. Penrice J. 80. Sahabo H. 25. Varga B. 21. Vida D.	17. Andre Luiz 4. Biancone G. 32. Hezze S. 6. Kalogeropoulos A. 61. Kouraklis G. (G) 67. Liatsikouras A. 10. Martins G. 96. Mouzakitis C. 8. Nascimento D. 1. Paschalakis A. (G) 99. Taremi M. 21. Vezo R.
Coaches
Nikolic M.	Mendilibar J. L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Jovic L. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Rodinei ⚽, Podence D. (A),
43', Moukoudi H. 🟨,
45', Podence D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Pereyra R. ↓, Varga B. ↑,
56', Podence D. ↓, Martins G. ↑,
56', Garcia D. ↓, Hezze S. ↑,
65', Pineda O. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
65', Zini ↓, Kutesa D. ↑,
68', Rodinei 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, Koita A. ⚽, Rota L. (A),
72', El Kaabi A. ↓, Taremi M. ↑,
74', Pirola L. 🟨,
79', Costinha ↓, Biancone G. ↑,
80', Scipioni L. ↓, Andre Luiz ↑,
90', Rota L. 🟨,
90+3', Jovic L. ↓, Ljubicic R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK won 1.

AEK is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Olympiacos's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Olympiacos will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in AEK: Callens A. (Heart Problems)

There will not play in Olympiacos: Podence D. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, AEK won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).

Outrights of Greek Super League for now

Olympiacos Piraeus: 24.03%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AEK Athens	6	4	2	0	16:3	13	14
5	Olympiacos Piraeus	5	3	1	1	4:2	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens
Greek Super League
13.05.26	PAOK - AEK Athens	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	AEK Athens - Panathinaikos	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Panathinaikos - AEK Athens	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	AEK Athens - PAOK	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.04.26	AEK Athens - Rayo Vallecano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWTWW
- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
13.05.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panathinaikos	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - PAOK	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Panathinaikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
05.04.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens	0:1
01.02.26	AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1
26.10.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens	2:0
27.04.25	AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:2
13.04.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens	1:0
Greek Cup
02.04.25	AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:0
Greek Super League
02.03.25	AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1

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