Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 6 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: Tupras Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Football
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Ring
Colombia	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	Sky Calcio 1
Kazakhstan	Q Sport Arena
Malta	TSN Malta 6
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	Disney+
Turkey	TRT 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports, TNT Sports 1
World	Disney+, Prima+ app


	Beşiktaş		Malmö

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.1	5
	1.63	4.1	5
	1.65	4.2	5
	1.65	4.26	5.14
	1.65	4.29	4.76	Watch
	1.65	4.2	5
	1.69	4.4	5.12
	1.68	4.2	5.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.65)	4.22 ↑ (3.8)	5.01 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beşiktaş
58%

Draw
22.8%

Malmö
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

24.1%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

26%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	12.1%	6.1%

Beşiktaş - Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: Beşiktaş will win (27 of 33 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.66% – 94.98%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Gunok M. (C) 2. Svensson J. 3. Gabriel Paulista 14. Uduokhai F. 26. Masuaku A. 73. Ndour C. 83. Fernandes G. 23. Muci E. 27. Rafa Silva 18. Joao Mario 9. Kilicsoy S.	1. Ricardo Friedrich (G) 19. Rosler C. 18. Jansson P. 35. Zatterstrom N. 38. Bolin H. 8. Pena S. 23. Johnsen L. B. 25. Busanello 20. Botheim E. 10. Christiansen A. (C) 9. Kiese Thelin I.
Substitutes
6. Al Musrati 94. Baytekin G. (G) 4. Bulut O. 30. Destanoglu E. (G) 91. Hekimoglu M. 77. Keles C. 71. Onana J. 7. Rashica M. 5. Sanuc T. T. 53. Topcu E. 8. Ucan S. 22. Zaynutdinov B.	22. Ali T. 16. Berg O. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 6. Lewicki O. 34. Loukili Z. 33. Makolli E. 39. Nieroth W. (G) 13. Olsson M. 30. Persson J. (G) 5. Rieks S. 7. Rosengren O. 37. Skogmar A.
Coaches
van Bronckhorst G.	Rydstrom H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Pena S. 🟨,
45+2', Masuaku A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
69', Gabriel Paulista 🟨,
72', Joao Mario ↓, Al Musrati ↑,
72', Ndour C. ↓, Rashica M. ↑,
72', Bolin H. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
73', Kiese Thelin I. ↓, Berg O. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Muci E. ⚽, Svensson J. (A),
84', Rafa Silva ↓, Ucan S. ↑,
84', Gabriel Paulista ↓, Topcu E. ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Kilicsoy S. ⚽, Topcu E. (A),
86', Botheim E. ↓, Rieks S. ↑,
86', Pena S. ↓, Rosengren O. ↑,
90+3', Jansson P. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Rieks S. ⚽, Christiansen A. (A),
90+6', Kilicsoy S. 🟨,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Beşiktaş is a favorite.

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Rashica M. (Muscle Injury) Uysal N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Malmö: Haksabanovic S. (Groin Injury) Holmquist Vecchia S. (Back Injury) Moisander N. (Knee Injury) Tinnerholm A. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Gabriel Paulista (Thigh Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Beşiktaş won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Beşiktaş won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Last Results with these Odds

Beşiktaş - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.53%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
02.11.24	Beşiktaş - Kasımpaşa	1:3 ✺
28.10.24	Galatasaray - Beşiktaş	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Lyon - Beşiktaş	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
20.10.24	Beşiktaş - Konyaspor	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Gaziantep - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWWT
- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.11.24	Hammarby - Malmö	2:2 ✺
28.10.24	Malmö - IFK Göteborg	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Malmö - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.10.24	Västerås SK - Malmö	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Malmö - Värnamo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
13.12.18	Beşiktaş - Malmö	0:1
04.10.18	Malmö - Beşiktaş	2:0

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