Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 19

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday


	Poole Town		Tiverton Town

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.45	5.7
	1.41	5.21	5.36
	1.41	4.55	6.86	Watch
	1.37	4.45	6.82
	1.47	4.5	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 (1.41)	4.63 ↑ (4.55)	6.01 ↓ (6.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poole Town
64.9%

Draw
19.8%

Tiverton Town
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

20.4%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

15.9%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poole Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Tiverton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Poole Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Poole Town - Tiverton Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Poole (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Poole (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 5)
2', 0 - 1, Swann T. ⚽,
4', 1 - 1, Gwengwe S. ⚽,
7', 1 - 2, Swann T. ⚽,
15', 1 - 3, Horne A. ⚽,
19', 2 - 3, Davis C. ⚽,
25', 3 - 3, Gwengwe S. (Pen),
35', 4 - 3, Campbell R. ⚽,
44', 4 - 4, Wood M. ⚽,
45+1', 4 - 5, Horne A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 5 - 5, Gwengwe S. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poole won 2.

Poole has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tiverton has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Poole may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Poole is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Poole won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Poole won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
22.11.25	Poole Town - Basingstoke Town	1:0 ✺
18.11.25	Farnham Town - Poole Town	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Poole Town - Gosport Borough	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
22.10.25	Taunton Town - Poole Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLLW
- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
22.11.25	Gosport Borough - Tiverton Town	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Hanwell Town - Tiverton Town	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Walton & Hersham - Tiverton Town	6:0 ✺
25.10.25	Tiverton Town - Yate Town	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Tiverton Town - Berkhamsted	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
07.10.25	Tiverton Town - Poole Town	1:2
15.02.25	Poole Town - Tiverton Town	0:1
26.10.24	Tiverton Town - Poole Town	3:1
27.01.24	Tiverton Town - Poole Town	4:2
17.10.23	Poole Town - Tiverton Town	2:0
29.10.22	Tiverton Town - Poole Town	2:1
13.08.22	Poole Town - Tiverton Town	2:4

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