Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 31

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Basingstoke Town		Poole Town

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.35	2.2
	3.14	3.39	2.12
	2.87	3.55	2.28	Watch
	3.25	3.75	1.85
	2.86	3.3	2.23
	2.9	3.25	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.38)	3.43 ↓ (3.74)	2.16 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basingstoke Town
30.9%

Draw
26.7%

Poole Town
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

24.3%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

24.2%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basingstoke Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Poole Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Poole Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Poole Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Basingstoke Town - Poole Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Carr D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
79', 1 - 1, Grant J. ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, Gwengwe S. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basingstoke won 2.

Basingstoke is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Poole has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Poole could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Basingstoke won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Basingstoke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Basingstoke: 0.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Poole	10	7	0	3	17:12	5	21
17	Basingstoke	9	2	3	4	14:16	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Basingstoke Town - the odds 3.38 are the expected chance of winning is 26.95%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
07.02.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Basingstoke Town	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Basingstoke Town - Uxbridge	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Basingstoke Town - Weymouth	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Berkhamsted - Basingstoke Town	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Wimborne Town - Basingstoke Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTLLT
- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
07.02.26	Poole Town - Hungerford Town	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Weymouth - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Walton & Hersham - Poole Town	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Poole Town - Yate Town	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Hanwell Town - Poole Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
22.11.25	Poole Town - Basingstoke Town	1:0
18.01.25	Poole Town - Basingstoke Town	1:0
09.11.24	Basingstoke Town - Poole Town	1:3
17.02.24	Poole Town - Basingstoke Town	0:1
14.10.23	Basingstoke Town - Poole Town	4:2
13.04.19	Poole Town - Basingstoke Town	3:2
18.08.18	Basingstoke Town - Poole Town	1:2

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