Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 27

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Beasain		Gernika

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.92	3.3
	2.18	2.88	3.8
	2.33	2.75	3.4	Watch
	2.15	2.7	3.6
	2.17	3.1	3.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.07)	2.87 ↓ (3.09)	3.52 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beasain
41.9%

Draw
32%

Gernika
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

29.3%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

24.5%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beasain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beasain that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gernika could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Beasain - Gernika Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Pita M. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Zubillaga J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', 3 - 0, Huete Beloki A. ⚽,
87', 4 - 0, Lorea A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent performances by Beasain have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gernika is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Beasain could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Beasain won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Beasain won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Beasain
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.03.26	Real Unión de Irun - Beasain	4:0 ✺
28.02.26	Beasain - Tudelano	1:5 ✺
22.02.26	SD Logroñés - Beasain	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Beasain - Alavés B	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Alfaro - Beasain	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLTTW
- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.03.26	Gernika - UD Logroñés	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Eibar B - Gernika	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Gernika - Sestao	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Mutilvera - Gernika	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Gernika - Real Unión de Irun	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.11.25	Gernika - Beasain	0:0
22.04.23	Beasain - Gernika	3:2
11.12.22	Gernika - Beasain	2:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
27.02.21	Gernika - Beasain	0:0

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