Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 9

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday


	Bedford Town		Leiston

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	2.9
	2.09	3.55	2.95
	2.04	3.85	2.96
	2.1	3.86	3.04	Watch
	2.06	3.58	2.99
	2.09	3.55	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.12)	3.63 ↑ (3.2)	2.97 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bedford Town
44.1%

Draw
25.1%

Leiston
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

30%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bedford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Bedford Town - Leiston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Blake R. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Howard R. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Clements K. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 1, Connolly K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', Gyamfi 🟥,
54', 3 - 2, Loza J. (Pen),
89', 3 - 3, Quantrell G. ⚽,
90+8', 4 - 3, Coker E. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 16).

Recent matches Bedford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leiston is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bedford will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bedford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Bedford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
21.09.24	Bedford Town - Redditch United	1:0 ✺
10.09.24	Biggleswade Town - Bedford Town	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Stratford Town - Bedford Town	1:1 ✺
26.08.24	Bedford Town - Bishops Stortford	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Harborough Town - Bedford Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTTWL
- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
21.09.24	Barwell - Leiston	0:0 ✺
10.09.24	Leiston - Sudbury Town	3:2 ✺
07.09.24	Halesowen Town - Leiston	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
31.08.24	Leiston - Waltham Abbey	4:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
26.08.24	Leiston - Royston Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
04.02.23	Bedford Town - Leiston	3:4
27.09.22	Leiston - Bedford Town	3:0

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