Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 20

Date: 22 November 2022, Tuesday


	Bedford Town		Kings Langley

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.65
	2.05	3.45	2.8
	2.11	3.45	2.9
	2.16	3.68	2.97
	2.15	3.4	2.88
	2.11	3.62	2.91
	2.15	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.41)	3.51 ↓ (3.56)	2.86 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bedford Town
42.5%

Draw
25.8%

Kings Langley
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

25.2%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

24.3%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bedford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bedford Town's performance.

Kings Langley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kings Langley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kings Langley than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Bedford Town - Kings Langley Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bedford will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Kings Langley will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bedford: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Bedford has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Kings Langley is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bedford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bedford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Bedford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
12.11.22	Bedford Town - St Ives Town	1:3 ✺
08.11.22	Basford United - Bedford Town	3:1 ✺
05.11.22	Mickleover Sports - Bedford Town	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Needham Market - Bedford Town	0:0 ✺
25.10.22	Bedford Town - Alvechurch	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLTL
- Kings Langley
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Kings Langley - AFC Telford United	1:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
14.11.22	Kings Langley - Rushall Olympic	0:1 ✺
12.11.22	Kings Langley - Hednesford Town	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Kings Langley	4:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Carshalton Athletic - Kings Langley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
15.08.22	Kings Langley - Bedford Town	3:1
English FA Cup
16.08.14	Bedford Town - Kings Langley	2:3

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