Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 20

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Bedford Town		Lowestoft Town

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.1
	1.91	3.8	3.2
	1.93	3.97	3.16
	1.96	4.02	3.26
	1.93	3.72	3.21
	1.91	3.8	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.84)	3.82 ↑ (3.71)	3.19 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bedford Town
47.5%

Draw
23.9%

Lowestoft Town
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

24.7%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

24%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Lowestoft Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lowestoft Town than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Bedford Town - Lowestoft Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Haylock K. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Clifton J. ⚽,
38', 1 - 2, Haylock K. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
59', 2 - 2, Clifton J. ⚽,
61', 3 - 2, Lobjoit L. ⚽,
86', 4 - 2, Clifton J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 8 and 17).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Lowestoft could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bedford will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
30.11.24	Bedford Town - Biggleswade Town	3:2 ✺
23.11.24	Alvechurch - Bedford Town	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	Kettering Town - Bedford Town	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Bedford Town - St Ives Town	0:3 ✺
02.11.24	Bromsgrove Sporting - Bedford Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLTLW
- Lowestoft Town
English Southern League Central Division
03.12.24	Lowestoft Town - Biggleswade Town	2:2 ✺
30.11.24	Banbury United - Lowestoft Town	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Stourbridge - Lowestoft Town	4:0 ✺
05.11.24	Lowestoft Town - Halesowen Town	0:5 ✺
26.10.24	Lowestoft Town - Harborough Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWLLW

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