Match Info

National League North - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: The Eyrie (Bedford)


	Bedford Town		Spennymoor Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.40	2.88
	2.10	3.25	2.90
	2.35	3.15	2.63
	2.25	3.40	3.14
	2.23	3.37	3.09	Watch
	2.20	3.25	3.10
	2.23	3.52	2.98
	2.17	3.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.37)	3.34 ↓ (3.43)	2.96 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bedford Town
41.5%

Draw
27.5%

Spennymoor Town
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

26.4%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bedford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Spennymoor Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Bedford Town - Spennymoor Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Evans R. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 0, Nto E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 3 - 0, Moncur G. (Penalty Awarded),
77', 3 - 1, Mondal J. ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Bedford have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Recently, Bedford has had a series of home games.

Bedford might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bedford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Bedford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Outrights of English National League North for now

Bedford: 2.14% Spennymoor: 0.73%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Bedford	10	5	1	4	14:14	0	16
23	Spennymoor	10	1	4	5	11:21	-10	7

Last Results with these Odds

Spennymoor Town - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.3%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bedford Town
English National League North
22.08.26	Southport - Bedford Town	4:1 ✺
18.08.26	Bedford Town - Buxton	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Bedford Town - Darlington	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Bedford Town - Walton & Hersham	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Bedford Town - Berkhamsted	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLWW
- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
22.08.26	Spennymoor Town - Oxford City	1:4 ✺
18.08.26	Scarborough Athletic - Spennymoor Town	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Spennymoor Town - Merthyr Town	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Spennymoor Town - Marine	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Macclesfield Town - Spennymoor Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
07.03.26	Spennymoor Town - Bedford Town	0:0
20.09.25	Bedford Town - Spennymoor Town	0:3

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