The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mouscron 31%
Draw 28.8%
Kortrijk 40.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.4%
27.2%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
19.5%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mouscron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Kortrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mouscron than the current prediction. (+18.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mouscron, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kortrijk than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kortrijk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17.5%
42.5%
40%
Mouscron - Kortrijk Predictions
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Mouscron will win (votes: 7 - 17.5%). Kortrijk will win (votes: 16 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 42.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.2% – 57.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
No spectators.
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 15).
Mouscron has a chance of relegated (30%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Kortrijk has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Mouscron is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Kortrijk is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 23 head-to-head matches Mouscron won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 21-33.
Including matches at home between the teams Mouscron won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-16.