Match Info

BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 21

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Olympisch Stadion (Antwerp)

Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6, Moja TV
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	Bold+
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Israel	Sport 3
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Sporza, Ziggo Sport 2
Norway	VG+
Portugal	DAZN 2
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Spain	GolStadium
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Beerschot Wilrijk		Royal Antwerp

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	2	Watch
	3.7	3.5	2
	3.65	3.4	2.02	Watch
	4.29	4.03	1.73
	3.7	3.6	1.91
	3.67	3.69	1.99	Watch
	3.65	3.4	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↓ (4.05)	3.59 ↓ (3.88)	1.95 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beerschot Wilrijk
25.2%

Draw
26.4%

Royal Antwerp
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

24.3%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

24%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beerschot Wilrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Royal Antwerp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royal Antwerp than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	9.1%	54.5%

Beerschot Wilrijk - Royal Antwerp Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Beerschot Wilrijk will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Antwerp will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Antwerp: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Shinton N. (G) 2. Dagba C. 6. Fayed O. 5. Mbe Soh L. 4. Plat B. 8. Henderson E. 16. Al Ghamdi F. 17. Al Sahafi M. 10. Verlinden T. 25. Colassin A. 9. Kosiah A.	91. Lammens S. (G) 6. Odoi D. 23. Alderweireld T. 33. Van Den Bosch Z. 5. Deman O. 4. Riedewald J. 8. Praet D. 7. Kerk G. 9. Chery T. 14. Valencia A. 18. Janssen V.
Substitutes
47. Cagro W. 27. Keita C. 42. Martha A. 71. Matijas D. (G) 7. Reyners T. 20. Sahabo H. 66. Tolis 26. Tshimanga D. 28. Weymans M.	22. Adekami F. 26. Bozhinov R. 2. Corbanie K. 81. Devalckeneer N. (G) 20. Doumbia M. 11. Ondrejka J. 54. Renders S. 79. Vandeplas G. 75. Verstraeten A.
Coaches
Kuyt D.	De Roeck J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Verlinden T. ⚽, Colassin A. (A),
19', Odoi D. 🟨,
25', Janssen V. 🟨,
27', Henderson E. 🟨,
44', Henderson E. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Colassin A. ↓, Keita C. ↑,
46', Valencia A. ↓, Ondrejka J. ↑,
46', Odoi D. ↓, Doumbia M. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Chery T. ⚽,
66', Fayed O. 🟨,
76', Van Den Bosch Z. 🟨,
83', Al Sahafi M. ↓, Reyners T. ↑,
85', Al Ghamdi F. 🟨,
88', Plat B. ↓, Weymans M. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Beerschot Wilrijk won 0.

Beerschot Wilrijk is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Antwerp is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Beerschot Wilrijk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Antwerp will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Beerschot Wilrijk: Sanusi R. (Injury)

There will not play in Antwerp: Scott C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Antwerp: Balikwisha M. (Injury) Engels B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Beerschot Wilrijk won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 4:10 (average 0.6:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Beerschot Wilrijk won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Belgian Cup
09.01.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Anderlecht	0:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.12.24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - Kortrijk	2:2 ✺
14.12.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - Standard Liège	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Anderlecht - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTTL
- Royal Antwerp FC
Belgian Cup
08.01.25	Royal Antwerp - Saint-Gilloise	5:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.12.24	Royal Antwerp - Genk	2:2 ✺
21.12.24	Dender EH - Royal Antwerp	1:3 ✺
13.12.24	KV Mechelen - Royal Antwerp	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Royal Antwerp - Charleroi	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.09.24	Royal Antwerp - Beerschot Wilrijk	Antwerp awarded
06.03.22	Royal Antwerp - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:1
05.12.21	Beerschot Wilrijk - Royal Antwerp	0:1
07.02.21	Beerschot Wilrijk - Royal Antwerp	1:2
25.10.20	Royal Antwerp - Beerschot Wilrijk	3:2
29.04.18	Beerschot Wilrijk - Royal Antwerp	0:0
15.04.18	Royal Antwerp - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:0

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