Match Info

Super League - Round 16

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Workers' Stadium (Beijing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Beijing Guoan		Wuhan Three Towns

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.5	7.5	Watch
	1.33	5.25	6.75
	1.27	5.9	8	Watch
	1.28	6.31	10.27
	1.34	5.4	7.55	Watch
	1.25	6.1	9.8
	1.28	6.47	7.47	Watch
	1.28	6.2	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.42)	6.02 ↑ (4.67)	8.24 ↑ (6.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beijing Guoan
73%

Draw
15.6%

Wuhan Three Towns
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

20%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

19.4%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beijing Guoan's performance.

Wuhan Three Towns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beijing Guoan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Beijing Guoan - Wuhan Three Towns Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Beijing Guoan (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Beijing Guoan will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Hou Sen (G) 21. Yue Tze-Nam 27. Wang Gang 5. Ramos G. 26. Bai Yang 10. Zhang Xizhe (C) 23. Dawhan 8. Konte A. 11. Lin Liangming 9. Zhang Yuning 29. Abreu F.	22. Fang Jingqi (G) 23. Ming Tian 2. He Guan (C) 13. Zheng Kaimu 4. Xu Haofeng 12. Liao Chengjian 20. Adriano Firmino 7. Gustavo Sauer 21. Xiong J. 8. Wang Jinxian 29. Cadiz J.
Substitutes
37. Cao Yongjing 6. Chi Zhongguo 47. Deng Jiefu 30. Fan Shuangjie 3. He Yupeng 36. Jia Feifan 20. Nkololo B. 7. Serginho 17. Yang Liyu 39. Zhang Jianzhi (G)	10. Bevis K. 31. Guo Jiayu (G) 11. Li Ang 5. Li Shenyuan 33. Liu Binbin 19. Liu Yiming 6. Long Wei 16. Min Zixi 37. Wang Kang 3. Yamkam M. 9. Zheng Haoqian 30. Zhong Jinbao
Coaches
Montgomery N.	Soares R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Zhang Xizhe ↓, Jia Feifan ↑,
45', Zheng Kaimu ↓, Li Ang ↑,
45+3', Liu Yiming 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Lin Liangming ↓, Nkololo B. ↑,
61', Yue Tze-Nam ↓, He Yupeng ↑,
64', Xiong J. 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Ramos G. ⚽, Serginho (A),
68', Xiong J. ↓, Li Shenyuan ↑,
68', Wang Jinxian ↓, Bevis K. ↑,
74', Wang Gang ↓, Deng Jiefu ↑,
77', Xu Haofeng ↓, Liu Binbin ↑,
77', Liao Chengjian ↓, Long Wei ↑,
90+1', Zhang Yuning 🟨,
90+7', Gustavo Sauer 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 3.

Beijing Guoan is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Wuhan Three Towns has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wuhan Three Towns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Beijing Guoan is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Spajic U. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Wuhan Three Towns: Xiong J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Fan Shuangjie (Inactive) Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) He Yupeng (Foot Injury) Nkololo B. (Injury) Wu Shaocong (Inactive) Yang Liyu (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Beijing Guoan	26	11	10	5	49:33	16	38
15	Wuhan Three Towns	26	5	11	10	39:46	-7	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beijing Guoan
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Guangdong GZ-Power - Beijing Guoan	1:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
30.05.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Beijing Guoan	2:3 ✺
23.05.26	Beijing Guoan - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan	1:1 ✺
15.05.26	Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLTW
- Wuhan Three Towns FC
Chinese FA Cup
20.06.26	Qingdao Red Lions - Wuhan Three Towns	0:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
31.05.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Yunnan Yukun	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Shandong Taishan - Wuhan Three Towns	3:3 ✺
20.05.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Wuhan Three Towns	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Liaoning Tieren	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
08.03.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Beijing Guoan	0:2
25.08.25	Beijing Guoan - Wuhan Three Towns	4:0
15.04.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Beijing Guoan	4:4
07.07.24	Beijing Guoan - Wuhan Three Towns	1:2
30.03.24	Wuhan Three Towns - Beijing Guoan	0:1
16.07.23	Beijing Guoan - Wuhan Three Towns	1:1
20.04.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Beijing Guoan	1:1

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