Match Info

Super League - Round 24

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Workers' Stadium (Beijing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Beijing Guoan		Yunnan Yukun

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.75	5.25	Watch
	1.49	4.75	4.75
	1.41	4.90	5.75
	1.52	5.22	5.37
	1.47	4.87	5.67	Watch
	1.48	5.15	5.30
	1.51	5.00	5.46	Watch
	1.50	5.00	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.47)	4.96 ↑ (4.87)	5.34 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Beijing Guoan
63.5%

Draw
19%

Yunnan Yukun
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

19.2%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

18.1%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Beijing Guoan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	33.3%	22.2%

Beijing Guoan - Yunnan Yukun Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Yunnan Yukun will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 1 - 50%). Yunnan Yukun (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (3.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (2.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Hou Sen (G) 27. Wang Gang 24. Abdugheni Abduhamit 5. Ramos G. 26. Bai Yang 37. Cao Yongjing 23. Dawhan 7. Serginho 47. Deng Jiefu 29. Abreu F. (C) 9. Zhang Yuning	23. Wang Zhifeng (G) 26. Zhang Chenliang 33. Burca A. 18. Yi Teng 3. Tsui Wang-Kit 10. Ionita II A. (C) 8. Xu Xin 7. Ye Chugui 39. Abdusalam Bunyamin 11. Taty Maritu O. 30. Saeter J.
Substitutes
41. Cheng Xi 30. Fan Shuangjie 36. Jia Feifan 58. Jiang Z. 4. Li Lei 31. Liu S. (G) 18. Wang Yu 43. Xiaoyu X. 17. Yang Liyu 21. Yue Tze-Nam 50. Zhang H. 10. Zhang Xizhe	1. Bao Yaxiong (G) 34. Caio Vinicius 9. Cleber 22. Duan Liuyu 36. Fei Ernanduo 27. Han Zilong 19. Huang Zichang 2. Hu Ruibao 13. Qiu Shengjun (G) 17. Sun Xuelong 16. Zhang Xiangshuo 6. Zhao Yuhao
Coaches
Montgomery N.	Vinyals J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Zhang Yuning 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Dawhan ⚽, Abreu F. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Ye Chugui ↓, Caio Vinicius ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Zhang Yuning ⚽, Abreu F. (A),
58', 2 - 1, Abdusalam Bunyamin ⚽, Zhang Chenliang (A),
62', Deng Jiefu ↓, Zhang Xizhe ↑,
62', Wang Gang ↓, Yue Tze-Nam ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Taty Maritu O. ⚽, Saeter J. (A),
69', 3 - 2, Serginho ⚽, Dawhan (A),
80', Zhang Chenliang ↓, Huang Zichang ↑,
80', Xu Xin ↓, Duan Liuyu ↑,
80', Saeter J. ↓, Cleber ↑,
84', Zhang Yuning ↓, Li Lei ↑,
85', Abdusalam Bunyamin ↓, Han Zilong ↑,
86', Caio Vinicius 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 3, Ionita II A. ⚽, Caio Vinicius (A),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 3).

Beijing Guoan has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Yunnan Yukun is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Yunnan Yukun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Yunnan Yukun has had a series of home games.

In this match, Beijing Guoan is the team to beat.

There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Lin Liangming (Inactive)

There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Chi Zhongguo (Inactive) Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) Wu Shaocong (Injury)

We predict that Beijing Guoan will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 3.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 4.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Beijing Guoan	26	11	10	5	49:33	16	38
4	Yunnan Yukun	26	11	5	10	54:51	3	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League
18.08.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Beijing Guoan	2:4 ✺
07.08.26	Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City	4:0 ✺
01.08.26	Beijing Guoan - Zhejiang Professional	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWT
- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Super League
15.08.26	Yunnan Yukun - Dalian Young Boy	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Yunnan Yukun - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Yunnan Yukun	3:2 ✺
26.07.26	Yunnan Yukun - Shenzhen Peng City	4:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.07.26	Yunnan Yukun - Chengdu Rongcheng	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
02.05.26	Yunnan Yukun - Beijing Guoan	3:3
Chinese FA Cup
20.08.25	Beijing Guoan - Yunnan Yukun	7:0
Chinese Super League
30.06.25	Beijing Guoan - Yunnan Yukun	2:1
22.02.25	Yunnan Yukun - Beijing Guoan	0:2

Upcoming Matches