Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 27

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio do Restelo (Lisbon)

Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Belenenses		Feirense

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.75
	2.45	3.1	2.55
	2.6	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.63	3.27	2.83
	2.64	3.27	2.83
	2.45	3.2	2.6
	2.6	3.16	2.71
	2.46	3.2	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.62)	3.21 ↑ (3.16)	2.7 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belenenses
36.6%

Draw
29%

Feirense
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

29.9%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

30.3%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Feirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Belenenses aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	66.7%	22.2%

Belenenses - Feirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Belenenses will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Feirense will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Grilo D. (G) 48. Manso T. 28. Cruz H. 37. Akas C. 5. Goncalves T. 23. Fernandes X. 19. Valente D. (C) 77. Keita M. 8. Gomes Tavares D. 21. Pina R. 87. Zequinha	99. Goncalves Mateus P. L. (G) 3. Moreira C. (C) 4. Shimaga A. 6. Washington 35. Sergio Conceicao 11. Banjaqui Z. 10. Oche O. 5. Silva B. 88. Alves R. 19. Antoine C. 37. Picas
Substitutes
25. Carvalho P. 16. Chapi 12. Dini F. 3. Fabao 9. Matos R. 14. Oliveira G. (G) 11. Sambu M. 99. Silva M. 10. Tavares M.	76. Almeida F. 7. Bras D. 71. Camara M. 70. Castro J. 1. Diego Callai (G) 77. Dudu Hatamoto 72. Oliveira G. 20. Pereira J. 25. Shodipo O.
Coaches
Barreto M.	Sousa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Antoine C. ⚽, Sergio Conceicao (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Fernandes X. ↓, Dini F. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Zequinha ⚽, Manso T. (A),
52', Shimaga A. 🟨,
55', Shimaga A. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
55', Banjaqui Z. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
64', Zequinha ↓, Matos R. ↑,
69', Silva B. ↓, Oliveira G. ↑,
71', Pina R. ↓, Tavares M. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Keita M. ⚽, Goncalves T. (A),
75', Valente D. 🟨,
79', Moreira C. ↓, Shodipo O. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Matos R. ⚽,
90+3', Keita M. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
90+5', Dini F. 🟨,

Preview

Belenenses is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Feirense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 2
18.03.24	Vilaverdense - Belenenses	1:1 ✺
11.03.24	Belenenses - Leixões	1:2 ✺
05.03.24	Marítimo - Belenenses	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Belenenses - Torreense	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Leiria - Belenenses	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLTLL
- CD Feirense
Portuguese Liga 2
17.03.24	Feirense - Porto B	1:1 ✺
11.03.24	AVS - Feirense	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Feirense - Benfica B	1:2 ✺
26.02.24	Paços de Ferreira - Feirense	1:0 ✺
21.02.24	Feirense - Académico de Viseu	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
10.11.23	Feirense - Belenenses	1:0

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