Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 18 March 2024, Monday

Location: Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)

Referee: Silva D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Vilaverdense		Belenenses

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.25	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.35	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.41	3.36	3.12
	2.41	3.36	3.12
	2.25	3.25	2.8
	2.31	3.38	2.98
	2.31	3.15	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.49)	3.25 ↓ (3.31)	2.93 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
39.9%

Draw
28.5%

Belenenses
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28.8%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

30.4%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	40%	10%

Vilaverdense - Belenenses Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vilaverdense will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Belenenses will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vilaverdense: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Santos R. (G) 26. Batista J. 3. Laercio 27. Freitas C. 12. Maviram E. 10. Soares A. (C) 23. Ericson 88. Neves L. 8. Joao Caiado 7. Teixeira G. 11. Bruno Silva	22. Grilo D. (G) 48. Manso T. 3. Fabao 33. Correia R. 5. Goncalves T. 19. Valente D. (C) 23. Fernandes X. 77. Keita M. 12. Dini F. 21. Pina R. 99. Silva M.
Substitutes
52. Burst J. 82. Cajo (G) 17. Fati N. 70. Hanne B. 4. Kawale R. 6. Konate B. 19. Lopes A. 5. Sako M. 25. Seedorf S.	25. Carvalho P. 6. Chaby F. 16. Chapi 28. Cruz H. 8. Gomes Tavares D. 9. Matos R. 14. Oliveira G. (G) 10. Tavares M. 87. Zequinha
Coaches
Machado S.	Barreto M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Correia R. 🟥,
51', Silva M. ↓, Tavares M. ↑,
52', Pina R. ↓, Gomes Tavares D. ↑,
62', Dini F. 🟨,
68', Joao Caiado ⚽, Teixeira G. (A),
69', Goncalves T. 🟨,
74', Joao Caiado ↓, Hanne B. ↑,
75', Dini F. ↓, Chapi ↑,
75', Fernandes X. ↓, Zequinha ↑,
81', Keita M. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
82', Bruno Silva ↓, Seedorf S. ↑,
89', Teixeira G. ↓, Sako M. ↑,
89', Soares A. ↓, Fati N. ↑,
90+2', Carvalho P. ⚽, Gomes Tavares D. (A),

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Vilaverdense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Belenenses is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Belenenses could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vilaverdense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Vilaverdense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
09.03.24	Porto B - Vilaverdense	2:1 ✺
04.03.24	Vilaverdense - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Benfica B - Vilaverdense	2:0 ✺
19.02.24	Vilaverdense - AVS	2:3 ✺
10.02.24	Nacional - Vilaverdense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 2
11.03.24	Belenenses - Leixões	1:2 ✺
05.03.24	Marítimo - Belenenses	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Belenenses - Torreense	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Leiria - Belenenses	4:2 ✺
11.02.24	Belenenses - Tondela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
04.11.23	Belenenses - Vilaverdense	0:2
Portuguese Liga 3
23.04.23	Vilaverdense - Belenenses	0:0
31.03.23	Belenenses - Vilaverdense	2:0

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