Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Belenenses		Sertanense

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.3	5
	1.56	3.4	5.1
	1.61	3.35	5.2
	1.63	3.36	5.93
	1.54	3.44	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.02)	3.37 ↑ (3.11)	5.57 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belenenses
56.8%

Draw
26.9%

Sertanense
16.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.5%

30.2%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

29.9%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belenenses's performance.

Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sertanense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belenenses that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sertanense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Belenenses - Sertanense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Belenenses will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Sertanense will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Os Belenenses is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Os Belenenses won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Os Belenenses
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.05.22	Fontinhas - Belenenses	2:1 ✺
01.05.22	Belenenses - Olhanense	3:0 ✺
24.04.22	Moncarapachense - Belenenses	0:0 ✺
16.04.22	Belenenses - Pero Pinheiro	3:1 ✺
10.04.22	Sertanense - Belenenses	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTWT
- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.05.22	Sertanense - Moncarapachense	0:1 ✺
01.05.22	Pero Pinheiro - Sertanense	0:0 ✺
24.04.22	Sertanense - Olhanense	1:0 ✺
16.04.22	Fontinhas - Sertanense	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Sertanense - Belenenses	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.04.22	Sertanense - Belenenses	1:1

Belenenses - Sertanense