Match Info

Date: 10 April 2022, Sunday


	Sertanense		Belenenses

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.8	2.45
	2.75	2.7	2.55
	3.1	2.8	2.31
	3.2	2.91	2.37
	3.05	3.04	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.33)	2.85 ↓ (2.91)	2.4 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sertanense
30.4%

Draw
31.8%

Belenenses
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

31.3%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

32.5%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sertanense's form might have worsened.

Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belenenses's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sertanense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belenenses, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Sertanense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Os Belenenses is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.04.22	Moncarapachense - Sertanense	1:1 ✺
20.03.22	Sertanense - Pero Pinheiro	1:1 ✺
06.03.22	Sertanense - SB Castelo Branco	1:1 ✺
23.02.22	Praiense - Sertanense	2:0 ✺
19.02.22	Oleiros - Sertanense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTTLW
- Os Belenenses
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.04.22	Belenenses - Fontinhas	2:0 ✺
20.03.22	Olhanense - Belenenses	1:1 ✺
06.03.22	Belenenses - Coruchense	2:1 ✺
20.02.22	Rabo de Peixe - Belenenses	0:1 ✺
13.02.22	Belenenses - Sintrense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3
11.10.26	Mafra - Belenenses	✺

Sertanense - Belenenses: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide