Match Info

Date: 28 October 2022, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Fontinhas		Belenenses

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.3	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.5
	2.85	3.1	2.32
	3.05	3.17	2.49
	2.88	3.08	2.34
	2.9	3.15	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.4)	3.12 ↑ (2.88)	2.39 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fontinhas
32.2%

Draw
29.4%

Belenenses
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

31.5%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

31.4%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fontinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fontinhas's form might have worsened.

Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belenenses's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fontinhas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belenenses, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Belenenses could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Fontinhas have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fontinhas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Fontinhas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Fontinhas
Taça de Portugal
15.10.22	Fontinhas - Arouca	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
08.10.22	Fontinhas - Académica Coimbra	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Fontinhas - Praiense	5:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
18.09.22	Alverca - Fontinhas	0:0 ✺
03.09.22	Fontinhas - Setúbal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWTT
- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3
21.10.22	Belenenses - Sporting Lisbon B	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
15.10.22	Sanjoanense - Belenenses	3:2 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
09.10.22	Leiria - Belenenses	2:4 ✺
Taça de Portugal
01.10.22	Belenenses - Torreense	3:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
17.09.22	Belenenses - Amora	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.05.22	Fontinhas - Belenenses	2:1
03.04.22	Belenenses - Fontinhas	2:0

Fontinhas - Belenenses: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide