Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 2 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes (Cordoba)

Referee: Ortega K. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Belgrano		Internacional RS

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	2.15	Watch
	3.6	3.25	2.05
	3.5	3.25	2.1	Watch
	3.75	3.24	2.12
	3.65	3.24	2.07
	3.5	3.2	2
	3.6	3.34	2.05	Watch
	3.45	3.2	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.17)	3.25 ↓ (3.29)	2.08 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano
26.2%

Draw
28.8%

Internacional RS
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

28.3%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

27.7%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	18.2%	54.5%

Belgrano - Internacional RS Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Internacional will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Internacional: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chicco I. (G) 4. Barinaga J. 40. Moreno M. 37. Troilo M. 13. Meriano N. 24. Gonzalez F. 5. Longo S. 32. Rojas A. 42. Lucco J. 9. Passerini L. 7. Suarez M.	1. Rochet S. (G) 16. Bustos F. 44. Vitao 15. Bruno Gomes 6. Rene 27. Mauricio 5. Fernando 29. Thiago Maia 11. Wanderson 19. Borre R. 10. Alan Patrick
Substitutes
19. Chavarria P. 28. Daniele M. (G) 33. Delgado R. 15. Garcia M. 34. Heredia G. 29. Jara F. 26. Lencioni F. 10. Marin M. 14. Palavecino M. 6. Rebola A. 11. Reyna B. 16. Rolon E.	24. Anthoni (G) 26. Bernabei A. 8. Bruno Henrique 47. Gustavo Prado 3. Igor Gomes 45. Lucca 2. Mallo H. 41. Matheus Dias 25. Mercado G. 4. Robert Renan 40. Romulo 21. Wesley Ribeiro
Coaches
Real J. C.	Coudet E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Lucco J. ↓, Reyna B. ↑,
45', Vitao 🟨,
45+3', Wanderson 🟨,
45+3', Barinaga J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rojas A. ↓, Heredia G. ↑,
46', Suarez M. ↓, Marin M. ↑,
48', Borre R. 🟨,
59', Mauricio ↓, Gustavo Prado ↑,
59', Bruno Gomes ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
67', Longo S. 🟨,
72', Wanderson ↓, Wesley Ribeiro ↑,
81', Passerini L. ↓, Jara F. ↑,
84', Gonzalez F. ↓, Lencioni F. ↑,
86', Alan Patrick ↓, Lucca ↑,
86', Bustos F. ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Belgrano is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Internacional is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Internacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Internacional will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
29.03.24	Tigre - Belgrano	1:4 ✺
20.03.24	Belgrano - Lanús	0:1 ✺
12.03.24	Central Córdoba - Belgrano	2:2 ✺
07.03.24	Belgrano - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Boca Juniors - Belgrano	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTTL
- Internacional RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
25.03.24	Internacional RS - Juventude	1:2 penalties ✺
17.03.24	Juventude - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.03.24	Nova Iguaçu - Internacional RS	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
09.03.24	Internacional RS - São Luiz	3:0 ✺
02.03.24	Juventude - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWWW

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