Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 6

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Pinheiro Borda (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball


	Internacional RS		Juventude

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	9	Watch
	1.38	4.8	8.25
	1.4	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.4	4.76	8.52
	1.41	4.57	8.17	Watch
	1.4	4.33	7.5
	1.45	4.37	8.74	Watch
	1.4	4.75	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.43)	4.58 ↑ (4.35)	8.15 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional RS
67.6%

Draw
20.8%

Juventude
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

21.8%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

21%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Internacional RS - Juventude Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Internacional will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Juventude will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Internacional (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Anthoni (G) 23. Nathan 41. Victor Gabriel 4. Vitao 26. Bernabei A. 16. Ronaldo 8. Bruno Henrique 17. Bruno Tabata 10. Alan Patrick (C) 21. Wesley 13. Valencia E.	1. Gustavo (G) 2. Ewerthon 3. Adriano Martins 34. Rodrigo Sam 47. Marcos Paulo 8. Giraldo D. 16. Jadson 28. Alan Ruschel (C) 27. Batalla E. 9. Gilberto 97. Enio
Substitutes
35. Aguirre B. 19. Borre R. 34. Gabriel Carvalho 47. Gustavo Prado 12. Ivan (G) 18. Juninho 39. Luis Otavio 2. Ramon 3. Rogel A. 11. Romero O. 29. Thiago Maia 28. Vitinho	23. Abner 4. Angel W. 18. Emerson Galego 6. Felipinho 11. Giovanny 20. Jean Carlos 44. Mandaca 36. Nata 10. Nene 37. Petterson Novaes 93. Reginaldo 21. Ruan Carneiro (G)
Coaches
Roger Machado	Fabio Matias

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Batalla E. ⚽, Gilberto (A),
18', 1 - 1, Victor Gabriel ⚽, Alan Patrick (A),
23', Bruno Tabata 🟨,
26', Rodrigo Sam 🟨,
39', 2 - 1, Victor Gabriel ⚽, Alan Patrick (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Adriano Martins ↓, Abner ↑,
48', Abner 🟨,
59', Bruno Henrique ↓, Thiago Maia ↑,
59', Bruno Tabata ↓, Vitinho ↑,
59', Valencia E. ↓, Borre R. ↑,
61', 3 - 1, Borre R. ⚽, Alan Patrick (A),
68', Gilberto ↓, Emerson Galego ↑,
68', Alan Ruschel ↓, Felipinho ↑,
75', Borre R. ↓, Gustavo Prado ↑,
82', Enio ↓, Giovanny ↑,
85', Alan Patrick ↓, Romero O. ↑,
87', Marcos Paulo ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Internacional won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Internacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Internacional is certain favorite.

There will not play in Internacional: Bruno Gomes (Knee Injury) Carbonero J. (Injury) Drummond L. (Knee Injury) Mercado G. (Knee Injury) Rochet S. (Broken Hand)

There will not play in Juventude: Caique Goncalves (Knee Injury) Cipriano (Hamstring Injury) Peixoto (Knee Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Internacional won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 34:18 (average 1.7:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Internacional won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21:9 (average 2.1:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Internacional RS - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 66.34%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional RS
Copa Libertadores
22.04.25	Internacional RS - Nacional Montevideo	3:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.04.25	Grêmio - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
16.04.25	Internacional RS - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Fortaleza - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.04.25	Internacional RS - Atlético Nacional	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTLTW
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie A
20.04.25	Juventude - Mirassol	2:2 ✺
16.04.25	Flamengo - Juventude	6:0 ✺
12.04.25	Juventude - Ceará	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Botafogo RJ - Juventude	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Juventude - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
25.01.25	Internacional RS - Juventude	2:0
Brazilian Serie A
01.09.24	Juventude - Internacional RS	1:3
14.08.24	Internacional RS - Juventude	2:1
Copa do Brasil
13.07.24	Juventude - Internacional RS	1:1
10.07.24	Internacional RS - Juventude	1:2
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
25.03.24	Internacional RS - Juventude	1:2 penalties
17.03.24	Juventude - Internacional RS	0:0

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