Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Colombia	ESPN 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-america	ESPN 5 South
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Boca Juniors		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.62	3.4	6.3
	1.62	3.53	7.34
	1.63	3.46	6.22	Watch
	1.61	3.48	6.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.46)	3.49 ↓ (3.93)	6.53 ↓ (7.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
58.7%

Draw
26.9%

Belgrano
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

23.7%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

23.3%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Boca Juniors - Belgrano Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Belgrano (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Boca Juniors (1.72) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 4 - 80%). Belgrano (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Marchesin A. (G) 24. Barinaga J. 40. Di Lollo L. 32. Costa A. 23. Blanco L. 6. Battaglia R. 5. Paredes L. 8. Carlos Palacios 33. Aguirre B. 16. Miguel Merentiel 9. Gimenez M.	25. Cardozo T. (G) 8. Compagnucci G. 14. Morales L. 17. Lopez L. 24. Maldonado A. 3. Sporle A. 11. Gonzalez F. 30. Saravia Salvia R. A. 10. Zelarayan L. 22. Fernandez N. 9. Passerini L.
Substitutes
17. Advincula L. 15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 30. Belmonte T. 42. Blondel L. 27. Braida M. 12. Brey L. (G) 4. Figal J. 21. Herrera A. 11. Janson L. 26. Pellegrino M. 7. Zeballos E. 22. Zenon K.	45. Baldi A. 34. Heredia G. 51. Hernandes R. 2. Leguizamon A. 32. Mavilla J. 19. Quignon F. 7. Reyna B. 16. Ricca F. 12. Sanchez U. 53. Velazquez J. 23. Vicentini M. (G) 20. Zelarayan G.
Coaches
Ubeda C.	Zielinski R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Blanco L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', Battaglia R. 🟨,
56', Maldonado A. 🟨,
57', Marchesin A. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Passerini L. (Pen),
62', 0 - 2, Paredes L. (Own goal),
65', Aguirre B. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Zeballos E. ⚽, Miguel Merentiel (A),
69', Cardozo T. 🟨,
75', Fernandez N. ↓, Mavilla J. ↑,
75', Compagnucci G. ↓, Heredia G. ↑,
82', Zelarayan L. ↓, Hernandes R. ↑,
83', Carlos Palacios 🟨,
84', Passerini L. 🟨,
87', Sporle A. 🟨,
89', Battaglia R. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
90', Carlos Palacios ↓, Zenon K. ↑,
90+1', Gonzalez F. ↓, Sanchez U. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 3.

Boca Juniors has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Belgrano is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Belgrano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Boca Juniors is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Carlos Palacios (Muscle Injury) Delgado M. (International duty) Fabra F. (Coach's decision)

There will not play in Belgrano: Longo S. (Knee Injury) Lopez E. (Hamstring Injury) Menossi L. (Red Card) Ricca F. (Muscle Injury) Sporle A. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:18. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 2.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.10.25	Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys	5:0 ✺
27.09.25	Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Boca Juniors - Central Córdoba	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Rosario Central - Boca Juniors	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Aldosivi - Boca Juniors	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTTW
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.10.25	Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
29.09.25	Barracas Central - Belgrano	1:1 ✺
22.09.25	Belgrano - Newells Old Boys	3:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
17.09.25	Newells Old Boys - Belgrano	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.04.25	Belgrano - Boca Juniors	1:3
28.09.24	Belgrano - Boca Juniors	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
03.03.24	Boca Juniors - Belgrano	3:2
10.10.23	Belgrano - Boca Juniors	4:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.05.23	Boca Juniors - Belgrano	2:0
10.02.19	Belgrano - Boca Juniors	1:1
29.10.17	Boca Juniors - Belgrano	4:0

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