Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA DE LA LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 11

Date: 20 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra (Cordoba)

Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)


	Belgrano		Lanús

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3	2.4
	3.1	3.1	2.4	Watch
	3.2	3.16	2.49
	3.2	3.16	2.48
	2.6	3	2.6
	3.13	3.13	2.37
	3.05	3.1	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.75)	3.12 ↓ (3.14)	2.42 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Belgrano
30.7%

Draw
30.3%

Lanús
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

29.8%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

30.4%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	41.7%	50%

Belgrano - Lanús Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Lanús will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Losada N. (G) 4. Barinaga J. 40. Moreno M. 37. Troilo M. 13. Meriano N. 26. Lencioni F. 5. Longo S. 12. Sanchez U. 10. Marin M. 42. Lucco J. 9. Passerini L.	42. Acosta L. (C) 24. Caceres J. 4. Perez G. 2. Munoz E. 6. Luciatti B. 22. Soler Barreto J. C. 15. Loaiza R. 5. Pena Biafore F. 32. Carrera R. 10. Marcelino Moreno 9. Bou W.
Substitutes
19. Chavarria P. 1. Chicco I. (G) 15. Garcia M. 34. Heredia G. 22. Ibacache A. 2. Maffini G. 17. Pastran L. 43. Rami F. 6. Rebola A. 32. Rojas A. 16. Rolon E. 7. Suarez M.	1. Aguerre A. (G) 40. Alvarez F. 25. Aquino D. 8. Boggio L. 20. Cabrera B. 13. Canale Dominguez J. 23. Dominguez N. 19. Gonzalez M. 21. Lotti A. 17. Rodriguez A. 27. Torres J. 16. Watson F. N.
Coaches
Farre G.	Zielinski R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Longo S. 🟨,
12', Pena Biafore F. 🟨,
22', Meriano N. 🟨,
35', Caceres J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lencioni F. ↓, Suarez M. ↑,
63', Barinaga J. ↓, Heredia G. ↑,
70', Carrera R. ↓, Boggio L. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Bou W. ⚽,
78', Bou W. ↓, Lotti A. ↑,
78', Loaiza R. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
83', Marin M. ↓, Pastran L. ↑,
86', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Torres J. ↑,
89', Lucco J. ↓, Chavarria P. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa de la Liga Profesional (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 1.

Recent matches Belgrano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lanús is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
12.03.24	Central Córdoba - Belgrano	2:2 ✺
07.03.24	Belgrano - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Boca Juniors - Belgrano	3:2 ✺
24.02.24	Belgrano - Talleres de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
19.02.24	Belgrano - Sarmiento de Junín	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTLTW
- CA Lanús
Copa Argentina
15.03.24	Lanús - El Porvenir	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
11.03.24	Tigre - Lanús	2:3 ✺
07.03.24	Lanús - Central Córdoba	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Defensa y Justicia - Lanús	0:4 ✺
25.02.24	Lanús - Banfield	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.10.23	Lanús - Belgrano	2:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.03.23	Belgrano - Lanús	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Superliga
20.04.19	Lanús - Belgrano	2:0
13.04.19	Belgrano - Lanús	3:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.03.19	Lanús - Belgrano	3:1
02.02.18	Belgrano - Lanús	0:0
02.10.16	Belgrano - Lanús	1:1

Upcoming Matches