The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Belgrano 45.1%
Draw 33.1%
San Martín de San Juan 21.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
31.3%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
30.6%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
The ML Model estimate for San Martín de San Juan aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.5%
7.9%
5.6%
Belgrano - San Martín de San Juan Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Belgrano (2.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - San Martín (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Belgrano will win
(76 of 88 users predict this - 86.36%). Confidence interval (95%): 79.19% – 93.53%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Belgrano will win (42 of 46 users predict this - 91.3%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 48 Selected Experts predict this event. Belgrano (votes: 43 - 89.6%). San Martín (votes: 3 - 6.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4.2%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Cardozo T. (G) 14. Morales L. 17. Lopez L. 24. Maldonado A. 16. Ricca F. 12. Sanchez U. 5. Longo S. (C) 30. Saravia Salvia R. A. 32. Mavilla J. 29. Jara F. 22. Fernandez N.
1. Borgogno M. (C) 16. Portillo A. 2. Caseres R. 6. Recalde L. 18. Salle S. 30. Diarte L. 21. Watson N. 49. Gonzalez D. 10. Gonzalez S. 28. Iacobellis M. 11. Maestro I.
Substitutes
8. Compagnucci G. 11. Gonzalez F. 51. Hernandes R. 2. Leguizamon A. 4. Lopez E. 15. Menossi L. 33. Ostchega T. 9. Passerini L. 19. Quignon F. 7. Reyna B. 3. Sporle A. 23. Vicentini M. (G)
32. Anselmo F. 20. Burgos E. 15. Cavallaro J. 22. Jaurena S. 29. Lecanda T. 37. Menendez J. 4. Molina A. 39. Orihuela M. 14. Pablo Garcia 8. Tijanovich H. 25. Toloza F. 13. Velazco M. (G)
Coaches
Zielinski R.
Romagnoli L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Saravia Salvia R. A. 🟨,
23', Watson N. 🟨,
37', Morales L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Iacobellis M. 🟨,
59', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
60', Saravia Salvia R. A. ↓, Menossi L. ↑,
60', Sanchez U. ↓, Compagnucci G. ↑,
66', Iacobellis M. ↓, Tijanovich H. ↑,
71', Morales L. ↓, Reyna B. ↑,
71', Fernandez N. ↓, Passerini L. ↑,
73', Gonzalez S. ↓, Jaurena S. ↑,
74', Maestro I. ↓, Anselmo F. ↑,
82', Longo S. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
85', Passerini L. 🟨,
88', Gonzalez D. ↓, Orihuela M. ↑,
88', Salle S. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
90+8', Menossi L. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Belgrano is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Belgrano: Baldi A.
(Inactive)
Quignon F.
(Ankle Injury)
Velazquez J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in San Martín: Burgos E.
(Inactive)
Gonzalez F.
(Muscle Injury)
Lecanda T.
(Knee Injury)
Pelaitay N.
(Inactive)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 0.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).