Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 20

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Uruguay Montevideo		Rentistas

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.20	2.05
	3.10	3.05	2.14
	3.58	3.20	2.10
	3.43	3.34	2.09	Watch
	3.40	3.15	2.07
	3.58	3.16	2.11	Watch
	3.15	3.20	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (3.4)	3.19 ↑ (3.1)	2.09 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay Montevideo
27.4%

Draw
28.7%

Rentistas
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

28.9%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

29%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Rentistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Uruguay Montevideo - Rentistas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Uruguay Montevideo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rentistas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, ⚽,
41', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 14th and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uruguay Montevideo won 3.

Uruguay Montevideo is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Rentistas is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Uruguay Montevideo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Rentistas holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Uruguay Montevideo has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:9 (averaging 2:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Uruguay Montevideo against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:4 goals (averaging 1.8:1 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rentistas	21	9	6	6	26:23	3	33
14	Uruguay Montevideo	21	4	5	12	19:31	-12	17

Last Results with these Odds

Rentistas - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 44.77%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.09.26	Miramar Misiones - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Plaza Colonia - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Uruguay Montevideo - La Luz	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Cerrito - Uruguay Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLTL
- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.09.26	Rentistas - Oriental de La Paz	0:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
16.09.26	Rentistas - Plaza Colonia	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.09.26	Colón Montevideo - Rentistas	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Rentistas - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	River Plate Montevideo - Rentistas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
21.06.26	Rentistas - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0
17.10.25	Rentistas - Uruguay Montevideo	1:3
26.07.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Rentistas	1:3
29.03.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Rentistas	1:0
07.10.24	Rentistas - Uruguay Montevideo	0:3
22.06.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Rentistas	3:0
03.09.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Rentistas	2:1

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