Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 13

Date: 29 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Parque Abraham Paladino (Montevideo)


	Progreso		Uruguay Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.87	2.75
	2.5	2.9	2.7
	2.26	3.14	3.08
	2.32	3.04	3.06	Watch
	2.41	2.95	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.24)	2.98 ↓ (3)	2.9 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progreso
38.2%

Draw
30.5%

Uruguay Montevideo
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

30.3%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

31.5%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Uruguay Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	22.2%	77.8%

Progreso - Uruguay Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Uruguay Montevideo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uruguay Montevideo: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches Progreso is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Uruguay Montevideo is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Progreso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Progreso won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Progreso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Progreso
Uruguayan Segunda Division
22.07.23	Albion Montevideo - Progreso	3:0 ✺
14.07.23	Progreso - Sud América	0:3 ✺
07.07.23	Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso	1:1 ✺
30.06.23	Progreso - Atenas de San Carlos	3:1 ✺
24.06.23	Rampla Juniors - Progreso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTWW
- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
22.07.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó	3:0 ✺
15.07.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	1:0 ✺
08.07.23	Sud América - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
30.06.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	4:0 ✺
24.06.23	Atenas de San Carlos - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.03.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Progreso	0:1
24.08.22	Uruguay Montevideo - Progreso	1:0
28.05.22	Progreso - Uruguay Montevideo	0:2

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