Match Info

Challenge League - Round 27

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Comunale Bellinzona (Bellinzona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1


	Bellinzona		Lausanne Ouchy

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.2	1.44
	3.95	3.75	1.75
	4.45	4.05	1.73
	4.2	4.12	1.72	Watch
	4	3.6	1.7
	4.27	3.75	1.67	Watch
	4	3.6	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↑ (3.97)	3.87 ↑ (3.74)	1.68 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bellinzona
21.4%

Draw
23.8%

Lausanne Ouchy
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

24.6%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

23.9%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Lausanne Ouchy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lausanne Ouchy than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Bellinzona - Lausanne Ouchy Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lausanne Ouchy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Lausanne Ouchy will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Trochen E. (G) 5. Rizvanovic M. 6. Trapero 79. Shala L. 34. Fetahu E. 25. Ayala D. 92. Moulin P. 88. Mosquera D. 23. Goncalves M. (C) 99. Lopez A. 11. Vogt W.	1. Da Silva D. (G) 28. Kaloga I. 34. Sutter N. 71. Malula B. 30. Sutter P. 77. Tritten V. 24. Akichi E. (C) 25. Nkama J. 13. Bah K. 11. Sartoretti M. 7. Nomel L.
Substitutes
14. Bomo J. 77. Grano A. 45. Jaiteh M. 80. Kury J. 4. Lopez B. 20. Mayorga J. 16. Muci A. (G) 8. Rey A.	19. Besson L. (G) 43. de Oliveira L. 70. Djoumgoue M. 8. Fargues H. 10. Garcia N. 44. Lukembila H. 21. Mendy F. 26. Socka Bongue L.
Coaches
Sannino G.	Stevanovic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Ayala D. 🟨,
35', Sutter N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Ayala D. ⚽, Vogt W. (A),
53', 2 - 0, Vogt W. ⚽, Goncalves M. (A),
57', Nkama J. ↓, Socka Bongue L. ↑,
57', Bah K. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
64', Lopez A. ↓, Rey A. ↑,
70', Mosquera D. ↓, Bomo J. ↑,
73', Bomo J. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, Nomel L. ⚽, Garcia N. (A),
78', Fetahu E. ↓, Mayorga J. ↑,
78', Moulin P. ↓, Jaiteh M. ↑,
81', Rizvanovic M. 🟨,
87', Kaloga I. 🟨,
89', Sutter P. ↓, Fargues H. ↑,
90+1', Trochen E. 🟨,
90+5', Goncalves M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 0.

Bellinzona has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lausanne Ouchy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Lausanne Ouchy is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 0.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bellinzona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lausanne Ouchy	9	6	3	0	17:3	14	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Bellinzona
Swiss Challenge League
13.03.26	Bellinzona - Étoile Carouge	0:3 ✺
07.03.26	Wil 1900 - Bellinzona	3:3 ✺
27.02.26	Bellinzona - Yverdon	0:4 ✺
20.02.26	Rapperswil-Jona - Bellinzona	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Bellinzona - Vaduz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLLL
- Lausanne Ouchy
Swiss Challenge League
14.03.26	Lausanne Ouchy - Stade Nyonnais	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Yverdon - Lausanne Ouchy	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Lausanne Ouchy - Étoile Carouge	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Wil 1900 - Lausanne Ouchy	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Lausanne Ouchy - Aarau	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
25.10.25	Bellinzona - Lausanne Ouchy	0:3
09.08.25	Lausanne Ouchy - Bellinzona	2:2
09.05.25	Lausanne Ouchy - Bellinzona	1:1
15.02.25	Bellinzona - Lausanne Ouchy	0:1
19.10.24	Lausanne Ouchy - Bellinzona	1:1
24.09.24	Bellinzona - Lausanne Ouchy	2:1
27.05.23	Lausanne Ouchy - Bellinzona	6:0

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