Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 25

Date: 2 January 2023, Monday


	Belper Town		Stafford Rangers

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	1.78
	4	3.3	1.7
	3.7	3.4	1.84
	3.9	3.42	1.91
	3.8	3.25	1.85
	3.78	3.58	1.82
	3.6	3.5	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.66)	3.41 ↓ (3.74)	1.82 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belper Town
23.9%

Draw
26.5%

Stafford Rangers
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

24.2%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

21.5%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belper Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Stafford Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belper Town than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stafford Rangers than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Belper Town - Stafford Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Belper will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Stafford will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stafford: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Belper is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stafford is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Belper have a series of guest games.

Recently Stafford have a series of home games.

In this match Stafford is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Belper won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belper Town
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.22	Matlock Town - Belper Town	4:0 ✺
03.12.22	United of Manchester - Belper Town	2:0 ✺
26.11.22	Morpeth Town - Belper Town	0:2 ✺
19.11.22	Belper Town - Whitby Town	2:2 ✺
12.11.22	South Shields - Belper Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LLWTL
- Stafford Rangers
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.22	Stafford Rangers - Nantwich Town	3:0 ✺
03.12.22	Stafford Rangers - Atherton Collieries	1:2 ✺
26.11.22	Stafford Rangers - United of Manchester	1:0 ✺
19.11.22	South Shields - Stafford Rangers	2:0 ✺
12.11.22	Stafford Rangers - Stalybridge Celtic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
29.08.22	Stafford Rangers - Belper Town	1:2

Belper Town - Stafford Rangers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide