Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 21

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Broadhurst Park (Manchester)


	United of Manchester		Belper Town

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.45	3.95	5
	1.43	4.3	5.6
	1.46	4.61	5.67
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.42	4.45	6.1
	1.44	4.33	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.47)	4.29 ↑ (4.05)	5.62 ↑ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United of Manchester
62.8%

Draw
21.1%

Belper Town
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

22.1%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

20.1%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United of Manchester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Belper Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with United of Manchester that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belper Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

United of Manchester - Belper Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches United of Manchester is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Belper is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match United of Manchester is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches United of Manchester won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams United of Manchester won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
26.11.22	Stafford Rangers - United of Manchester	1:0 ✺
19.11.22	United of Manchester - Gainsborough Trinity	1:3 ✺
12.11.22	United of Manchester - Warrington Rylands	2:2 ✺
05.11.22	Stalybridge Celtic - United of Manchester	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	United of Manchester - Lancaster City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTWT
- Belper Town
English NPL Premier Division
26.11.22	Morpeth Town - Belper Town	0:2 ✺
19.11.22	Belper Town - Whitby Town	2:2 ✺
12.11.22	South Shields - Belper Town	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Belper Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:4 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Runcorn Linnets - Belper Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
16.08.22	Belper Town - United of Manchester	1:4
21.02.15	Belper Town - United of Manchester	1:3
23.08.14	United of Manchester - Belper Town	2:2

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