Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 24

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday


	Lancaster City		Bamber Bridge

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.35	3.3
	1.97	3.72	3.4	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.3
	1.95	3.38	3.41
	1.93	3.66	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.93)	3.48 ↑ (3.38)	3.35 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lancaster City
46.7%

Draw
26.1%

Bamber Bridge
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

26.7%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

28.1%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lancaster City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Bamber Bridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bamber Bridge than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Lancaster City - Bamber Bridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 1 - 0, Lawson D. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Knight-Percival N. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Molloy O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 1 - 3, Allen J. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lancaster won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lancaster will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Lancaster won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 1.4:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lancaster won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division
20.12.25	United of Manchester - Lancaster City	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Warrington Rylands - Lancaster City	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Lancaster City	1:4 ✺
25.11.25	Lancaster City - Prescot Cables	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Lancaster City - Stockton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWL
- Bamber Bridge
English NPL Premier Division
20.12.25	Bamber Bridge - Warrington Rylands	3:1 ✺
13.12.25	Bamber Bridge - Ashton United	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Workington - Bamber Bridge	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Bamber Bridge - Prescot Cables	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Hebburn Town - Bamber Bridge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
21.04.25	Lancaster City - Bamber Bridge	1:4
26.12.24	Bamber Bridge - Lancaster City	2:3
01.04.24	Lancaster City - Bamber Bridge	3:2
26.12.23	Bamber Bridge - Lancaster City	2:1
10.04.23	Bamber Bridge - Lancaster City	2:1
26.12.22	Lancaster City - Bamber Bridge	1:1
18.04.22	Lancaster City - Bamber Bridge	0:1

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