Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 22

Date: 4 April 2023, Tuesday


	Belper Town		Marske United

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	2.55
	2.32	3.3	2.5
	3.05	3.5	1.94
	2.4	3.68	2.58
	2.38	3.25	2.6
	2.41	3.54	2.57
	2.2	3.5	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (3.13)	3.44 ↓ (3.7)	2.51 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belper Town
37.2%

Draw
26.5%

Marske United
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

24.5%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

24%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belper Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belper Town's performance.

Marske United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marske United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belper Town than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belper Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marske United than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marske United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	37.5%	62.5%

Belper Town - Marske United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Marske will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marske: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Belper is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Marske is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marske could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Marske will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Belper won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belper Town
English NPL Premier Division
01.04.23	Belper Town - Atherton Collieries	2:0 ✺
25.03.23	Guiseley - Belper Town	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Belper Town - Lancaster City	1:2 ✺
07.03.23	Ashton United - Belper Town	3:1 ✺
04.03.23	Stalybridge Celtic - Belper Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLLL
- Marske United
English NPL Premier Division
28.03.23	Marske United - Warrington Rylands	2:0 ✺
25.03.23	United of Manchester - Marske United	2:1 ✺
21.03.23	Marske United - Liversedge	2:2 ✺
18.03.23	Marske United - Matlock Town	2:1 ✺
14.03.23	Marske United - Radcliffe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
13.08.22	Marske United - Belper Town	3:1

Belper Town - Marske United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide