Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 38

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday


	Belper Town		Atherton Collieries

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.3
	2.5	3.66	2.51
	2.8	3.5	2.1
	2.55	3.38	2.51
	2.4	3.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (3.23)	3.49 ↓ (3.6)	2.38 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belper Town
35.6%

Draw
26.1%

Atherton Collieries
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

25.1%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

24%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belper Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belper Town's performance.

Atherton Collieries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atherton Collieries might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belper Town than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belper Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atherton Collieries than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atherton Collieries could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Belper Town - Atherton Collieries Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Atherton Collieries could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Atherton Collieries have a series of home games.

Atherton Collieries will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Belper won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belper Town
English NPL Premier Division
25.03.23	Guiseley - Belper Town	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Belper Town - Lancaster City	1:2 ✺
07.03.23	Ashton United - Belper Town	3:1 ✺
04.03.23	Stalybridge Celtic - Belper Town	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Belper Town - South Shields	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLLL
- Atherton Collieries
English NPL Premier Division
28.03.23	Atherton Collieries - Liversedge	0:4 ✺
25.03.23	Atherton Collieries - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Ashton United - Atherton Collieries	3:0 ✺
11.03.23	Atherton Collieries - United of Manchester	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Atherton Collieries - Marine	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
11.10.22	Atherton Collieries - Belper Town	1:1

Belper Town - Atherton Collieries: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide