Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 37

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday


	Guiseley		Belper Town

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.2	6
	1.45	4.41	6.18
	1.36	4.2	6.5
	1.43	4.4	6.25
	1.4	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.64)	4.34 ↑ (3.74)	6.19 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guiseley
64.4%

Draw
20.9%

Belper Town
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.2%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

19.4%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guiseley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guiseley's performance.

Belper Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belper Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (-20.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guiseley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belper Town than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belper Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guiseley - Belper Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Guiseley is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Belper has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Belper could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Guiseley is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guiseley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guiseley
English NPL Premier Division
18.03.23	Warrington Rylands - Guiseley	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Marine - Guiseley	1:3 ✺
04.03.23	Guiseley - Gainsborough Trinity	0:1 ✺
25.02.23	Guiseley - Radcliffe	1:3 ✺
21.02.23	Guiseley - Lancaster City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLT
- Belper Town
English NPL Premier Division
18.03.23	Belper Town - Lancaster City	1:2 ✺
07.03.23	Ashton United - Belper Town	3:1 ✺
04.03.23	Stalybridge Celtic - Belper Town	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Belper Town - South Shields	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Belper Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
15.10.22	Belper Town - Guiseley	1:3

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